The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Fakel 27%
Draw 30.2%
Akhmat Grozny 42.8%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
32.4%
26%
41.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
34.8%
25.1%
40.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fakel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fakel's form might have worsened.
Akhmat Grozny has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fakel than the current prediction. (+7.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fakel, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Akhmat Grozny than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
Fakel - Akhmat Grozny Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Frolkin D. (G) 20. Yurganov I. 5. Gabaraev A. 44. Zhuravlev Y. 22. El Mhassani H. 18. Simonov K. 52. Netfullin R. (C) 99. Giorgobiani N. 17. Kovalev A. 9. Gnapi Dable A. 19. Pusi B.
71. Mitsaev R. (G) 81. Sidorov M. 95. Adamov A. 5. Cake K. 8. Bogosavac M. 6. Sidibe K. 4. Ibishev T. 17. Cacintura E. 11. Silva I. 7. Sadulaev L. 13. Konate M.
Substitutes
10. Alshin I. 8. Bagamaev A. 25. Belyaev A. 40. Clayton Sampaio 35. Dorovskikh V. (G) 90. Koksharov A. 27. Magkeev S. 97. Magomedov B. 96. Obukhov I. (G) 55. Todorovic D. 7. Turishchev M. 23. Yakimov V.
87. Elberdov A. R. 70. Gadzhiev A. 97. Kasadzhikov A. 54. Kistenev K. 76. Maksuti E. 10. Shchetinin K. 1. Ulyanov V. (G)
Coaches
Rebko A.
Cherchesov S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
21', Gabaraev A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Pusi B. ↓, Turishchev M. ↑,
58', Gnapi Dable A. ↓, Todorovic D. ↑,
58', Kovalev A. ↓, Koksharov A. ↑,
60', Bogosavac M. 🟨,
65', Simonov K. ↓, Bagamaev A. ↑,
73', Konate M. ↓, Maksuti E. ↑,
75', Zhuravlev Y. ↓, Clayton Sampaio ↑,
82', Turishchev M. 🟨,
90+2', Gabaraev A. 🟨,
Penalties (3 - 1)
1, (Penalty Awarded),
1, (Penalty Awarded),
2, (Penalty Awarded),
2, (Penalty Awarded),
3, (Penalty Awarded),
3, (Penalty Awarded),
4, (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fakel won 2.
In recent outings, Fakel has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Akhmat is on a prolonged losing streak (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Akhmat could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Akhmat holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 9 head-to-head meetings, Fakel has recorded 3 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 11:10 (averaging 1.2:1.1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Fakel against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 3 draws, and 1 loss, with 4:3 goals (averaging 0.8:0.6 per game).
Outrights of Russian Cup for now
Akhmat Grozny: 0.99% Fakel Voronezh: 0.84%
Last Results with these Odds
Akhmat Grozny - the odds 2.13 are the expected chance of winning is 41.58%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.
Argentina
Ecuador
Russia
South America
Uruguay
Watch
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Frolkin D. (G) 
El Mhassani H. 
Kovalev A. 
Gnapi Dable A. 
Pusi B. 
Bogosavac M. 
Sidibe K. 
Cacintura E. 
Silva I. 
Konate M. 
Todorovic D. 
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