Match Info

Premier League - Round 26

Date: 27 April 2025, Sunday

Location: Ak Bars Arena (Kazan)

Referee: Safyan R. (Rus)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	Q Football Asia
Belarus	Belarus 5
Croatia	Arena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go
Russia	Match! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru


	Rubin Kazan		Fakel

	1	X	2
	2.13	3.25	3.86
	2.1	3.3	4.25	Watch
	1.84	3.45	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↑ (1.88)	3.33 ↓ (3.74)	4.07 ↓ (4.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Rubin Kazan
47.5%

Draw
28.8%

Fakel
23.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.5%

26.4%

21.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.8%

26.3%

21.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rubin Kazan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Fakel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rubin Kazan than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rubin Kazan, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fakel than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	0%	12.5%

Rubin Kazan - Fakel Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Rubin (votes: 1 - 50%). Fakel (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Rubin Kazan will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
38. Staver E. (G) 27. Gritsaenko A. 15. Vujacic I. 51. Rozhkov I. 70. Kabutov D. 19. Ivanov O. 22. Hodza V. 2. Teslenko E. 99. Shabanhaxhaj D. 96. Vasiljev N. 30. Vada V.	1. Gudiev V. (G) 4. Dziov M. 47. Bozhin S. 22. Yurganov I. 13. Kalinin I. 7. Brahimi M. 33. Kvekveskiri I. 64. Ivlev A. 11. Motpan N. 9. Kashtanov A. 15. Iljin V.
Substitutes
18. Apshatsev M. 5. Ashurmatov R. 23. Bezrukov R. 24. Cumic N. 39. Ezhov I. (G) 6. Iwu U. 87. Mukba E. 25. Nigmatullin A. (G) 11. Taheri K. 21. Zotov A.	10. Alshin I. 31. Belenov A. (G) 92. Bryzgalov S. 5. Gabaraev A. 17. Giorgobiani N. 71. Kovalev A. 77. Lomovitskiy A. 19. Pusi B. 72. Senhadji R. 21. Shchetinin M. 23. Yakimov V.
Coaches
Rakhimov R.	Shalimov I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
22', 0 - 1, Ivlev A. ⚽,
26', Shabanhaxhaj D. 🟨,
41', Kalinin I. 🟨,
41', Vasiljev N. ↓, Iwu U. ↑,
45+4', Dziov M. ↓, Gabaraev A. ↑,
45+5', Rozhkov I. ↓, Bezrukov R. ↑,
45+9', Motpan N. 🟥,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
56', 1 - 1, Bezrukov R. ⚽, Ivanov O. (A),
65', Kashtanov A. ↓, Pusi B. ↑,
65', Brahimi M. ↓, Senhadji R. ↑,
79', Vada V. ↓, Taheri K. ↑,
79', Hodza V. ↓, Apshatsev M. ↑,
88', Kabutov D. 🟨,
89', 2 - 1, Bezrukov R. ⚽, Ivanov O. (A),
90+4', Kvekveskiri I. 🟨,
90+5', Taheri K. 🟨,

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 8 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ FNL).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Rubin won 3.

Recent matches Rubin is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Fakel has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Rubin could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Rubin is a favorite.

There will not play in Rubin: Daku M. (Red Card)

There will not play in Fakel: Mertens D. (Yellow Cards)

Last 6 head-to-head matches Rubin won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8:5 (average 1.3:0.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Rubin won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5:5 (average 1.7:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rubin Kazan
Russian Premier League
20.04.25	Dynamo Moscow - Rubin Kazan	3:1 ✺
12.04.25	Rubin Kazan - Lokomotiv Moscow	1:0 ✺
05.04.25	Krylya Sovetov - Rubin Kazan	1:1 ✺
30.03.25	Zenit - Rubin Kazan	4:0 ✺
16.03.25	Rubin Kazan - Nizhny Novgorod	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LWTLW
- Fakel Voronezh
Russian Premier League
20.04.25	Fakel - Rostov	0:2 ✺
13.04.25	Akron Tolyatti - Fakel	1:0 ✺
05.04.25	Fakel - Akhmat Grozny	0:0 ✺
30.03.25	Krasnodar - Fakel	5:0 ✺
15.03.25	Orenburg - Fakel	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Russian Cup
01.10.24	Rubin Kazan - Fakel	0:1
Russian Premier League
27.09.24	Fakel - Rubin Kazan	0:0
Russian Cup
27.08.24	Fakel - Rubin Kazan	0:2
Russian Premier League
26.11.23	Rubin Kazan - Fakel	1:0
25.09.23	Fakel - Rubin Kazan	0:1
Club Friendly
20.01.22	Rubin Kazan - Fakel	4:4

Upcoming Matches