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Current Win Probability
Džiugas Telšiai 74.8%
Draw 17.8%
Riteriai 7.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
61.8%
23.1%
15.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
64.3%
22.2%
14.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Džiugas Telšiai has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Džiugas Telšiai's performance.
Riteriai has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Riteriai might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Džiugas Telšiai than the current prediction. (-10.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Džiugas Telšiai that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Riteriai than the current prediction. (+7.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Riteriai could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
83.3%
0%
16.7%
Džiugas Telšiai - Riteriai Predictions
Users Predictions:
Džiugas Telšiai will win
(5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%). Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Paukste M. (C) 2. Vermeulen V. 4. Sane B. 23. Cisse I. 46. Wawszczyk J. 14. Zevzikovas D. 27. Vinckus D. 6. Pavlovskij N. 8. Bunchukov D. 10. Piliukaitis V. 90. Sobowale R.
26. Moschin S. (G) 4. Karamarko M. 2. Bondar D. 23. Rimpa D. 88. Yakah A. 11. Novikovas A. (C) 14. Baftalovskyi A. 6. Sveistrys A. 10. Civilka S. 22. Estevez Fernandez L. 16. Usavicius J.
Substitutes
33. Ankudinovas L. 44. Asomugha B. 16. Chapi 77. Marchuk A. 24. Okpolokpo J. 21. Patella S. R. 22. Rybcynskij M. (G) 9. Scotto I. E. 48. Stelmokas T.
92. Andraikenas K. (G) 35. Garapko P. 27. Gelombickas D. 47. Gurksnys V. 50. Latvys M. 17. Lipinskas D. 5. Rutkovskis M. 37. Sankin A. (G) 20. Waruingi J. M.
Coaches
Lipskis A.
Vaiciunas G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
55', 1 - 0, Vinckus D. ⚽, Piliukaitis V. (A),
61', Zevzikovas D. ↓, Scotto I. E. ↑,
72', Bunchukov D. ↓, Marchuk A. ↑,
72', Vinckus D. ↓, Chapi ↑,
72', Sobowale R. ↓, Stelmokas T. ↑,
80', Pavlovskij N. ↓, Ankudinovas L. ↑,
84', Baftalovskyi A. ↓, Gelombickas D. ↑,
84', Novikovas A. ↓, Gurksnys V. ↑,
88', Bondar D. 🟨,
90+3', Estevez Fernandez L. 🟨,
90+6', Usavicius J. 🟨,
Preview
This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 10 in the zone Relegation ~ I Lyga).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Džiugas won 5.
In recent matches, Džiugas has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Riteriai is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Riteriai may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Džiugas is the obvious favorite.
In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Džiugas won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 23:27. (average 1.3:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Džiugas won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:14. (average 1.6:1.8).
Lithuania
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Paukste M. (C) 
Vermeulen V. 
Sane B. 
Cisse I. 
Wawszczyk J. 
Bunchukov D. 
Sobowale R. 
Moschin S. (G) 
Karamarko M. 
Yakah A. 
Asomugha B. 
Chapi 
Okpolokpo J. 
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