Match Info

TOPLYGA - Round 15

Date: 24 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Telsiai Central Stadium (Telsiai)

Referee: Abramavicius O. (Ltu)

Where to Watch on TV:


Lithuania	LNK


	Džiugas Telšiai		Transinvest

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.3	2.15
	2.88	3.2	2.2	Watch
	2.87	3.4	2.37
	2.99	3.4	2.23	Watch
	2.9	3	2.3
	2.86	3.13	2.32	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.88 ↑ (2.64)	3.24 ↓ (3.38)	2.26 ↓ (2.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Džiugas Telšiai
31.7%

Draw
28.1%

Transinvest
40.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.2%

26.7%

39%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.9%

27.3%

38.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Džiugas Telšiai has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Transinvest has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Džiugas Telšiai than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Transinvest than the current prediction. (-2%)

Džiugas Telšiai - Transinvest Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Paukste M. (G) 2. Vermeulen V. 4. Sane B. 23. Cisse I. 46. Wawszczyk J. 33. Ankudinovas L. (C) 16. Chapi 8. Bunchukov D. 10. Piliukaitis V. 24. Okpolokpo J. 90. Sobowale R.	55. Bertasius M. (G) 32. Musolitin M. 80. Kloniunas E. 5. Sveikauskas R. (C) 33. Barauskas D. 7. Bosnjak D. 6. Bilbao I. 23. Xabi Auzmendi 8. Glushach Y. 13. Tanaka H. 9. Milosevic S.
Substitutes
44. Asomugha B. 77. Marchuk A. 21. Patella S. R. 6. Pavlovskij N. 91. Ryabenko V. (G) 9. Scotto I. E. 48. Stelmokas T. 27. Vinckus D. 14. Zevzikovas D.	18. Cesnauskis D. 93. Girdvainis E. 99. Jeudi S. 15. Koffi 90. Oluwatomisin A. A. 12. Petkus N. 88. Sluta D. 17. Steponavicius T. 26. Tamasevicius A. 1. Virvilas J. (G)
Coaches
Lipskis A.	Stankevicius M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
20', 1 - 0, Cisse I. ⚽,
24', 1 - 1, Glushach Y. (Penalty Awarded),
25', Sane B. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
54', 1 - 2, Milosevic S. ⚽,
56', Ankudinovas L. 🟨,
56', Glushach Y. 🟨,
63', Wawszczyk J. ↓, Vinckus D. ↑,
63', Piliukaitis V. ↓, Zevzikovas D. ↑,
71', 🟨,
71', 2 - 2, Scotto I. E. ⚽,
78', Chapi ↓, Pavlovskij N. ↑,
79', Kloniunas E. 🟨,
82', 3 - 2, Zevzikovas D. ⚽,
85', Tanaka H. ↓, Jeudi S. ↑,
90', Bunchukov D. ↓, Asomugha B. ↑,
90+2', Xabi Auzmendi ↓, Oluwatomisin A. A. ↑,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Džiugas won 2.

Right now, both teams are showing solid form.

Džiugas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Džiugas has had a series of home games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Džiugas won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 0.7:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Džiugas won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Transinvest	28	13	6	9	43:35	8	45
6	Dziugas Telsiai	28	10	8	10	36:40	-4	38

Last Results with these Odds

Džiugas Telšiai - the odds 2.64 are the expected chance of winning is 34.23%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Džiugas Telšiai
Lithuanian Cup
20.05.26	Džiugas Telšiai - Banga Gargždai	1:0 penalties ✺
Lithuanian TOPLYGA
16.05.26	Džiugas Telšiai - Banga Gargždai	0:1 ✺
09.05.26	Džiugas Telšiai - Riteriai	1:0 ✺
05.05.26	Kauno Žalgiris - Džiugas Telšiai	2:2 ✺
01.05.26	Džiugas Telšiai - Hegelmann Litauen	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 WLWTW
- FK Transinvest
Lithuanian Cup
20.05.26	Transinvest - Hegelmann Litauen	2:0 ✺
Lithuanian TOPLYGA
17.05.26	Transinvest - Žalgiris	1:0 ✺
10.05.26	Banga Gargždai - Transinvest	2:2 ✺
06.05.26	Transinvest - Sūduva Marijampolė	1:1 ✺
02.05.26	Riteriai - Transinvest	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Lithuanian TOPLYGA
22.03.26	Transinvest - Džiugas Telšiai	0:0
Lithuanian Cup
27.08.24	Transinvest - Džiugas Telšiai	1:2
Lithuanian TOPLYGA
23.08.24	Džiugas Telšiai - Transinvest	0:3
22.06.24	Transinvest - Džiugas Telšiai	3:0
27.04.24	Džiugas Telšiai - Transinvest	2:0
09.03.24	Transinvest - Džiugas Telšiai	0:1
Lithuanian Cup
09.09.23	Transinvest - Džiugas Telšiai	1:0

Džiugas Telšiai - Transinvest: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide