Match Info

BRAZIL: CAMPEONATO PAULISTA A2 - ROUND 12

Date: 25 February 2023, Saturday


	EC Lemense		Ponte Preta

	1	X	2
	4.2	3.25	1.82
	4.2	3.05	1.8
	4.2	3.14	1.87
	4.15	3.38	1.86	Watch
	4.3	3.2	1.81
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.21 ↓ (4.24)	3.2 ↓ (3.4)	1.83 ↑ (1.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

EC Lemense
21.7%

Draw
28.5%

Ponte Preta
49.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.4%

26.7%

51.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.6%

26.9%

51.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

EC Lemense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Ponte Preta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for EC Lemense than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ponte Preta than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

EC Lemense - Ponte Preta Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 13 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato Paulista A2 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Recent matches Lemense is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Ponte Preta is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Lemense could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Ponte Preta is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EC Lemense
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
18.02.23	EC Primavera - EC Lemense	2:2 ✺
15.02.23	Piracicaba - EC Lemense	1:1 ✺
11.02.23	EC Lemense - São Caetano	1:0 ✺
08.02.23	EC Noroeste - EC Lemense	1:0 ✺
04.02.23	EC Lemense - Portuguesa Santista	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 TTWLL
- AA Ponte Preta
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
22.02.23	Ponte Preta - EC Primavera	1:1 ✺
18.02.23	Ponte Preta - Portuguesa Santista	3:1 ✺
14.02.23	Linense - Ponte Preta	0:2 ✺
11.02.23	Ponte Preta - Osasco Sporting	2:1 ✺
08.02.23	Rio Claro - Ponte Preta	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 TWWWW

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