Match Info

BRAZIL: CAMPEONATO PAULISTA A2 - ROUND 14

Date: 4 March 2023, Saturday


	EC Noroeste		Rio Claro

	1	X	2
	1.98	3.1	3.7
	1.95	3.1	3.6
	2.09	3.03	3.63
	2.04	3.26	3.6	Watch
	2.01	3.1	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↑ (1.93)	3.12 ↓ (3.13)	3.62 ↓ (3.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

EC Noroeste
45.4%

Draw
29.3%

Rio Claro
25.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.1%

29.1%

23.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.8%

28.1%

23%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

EC Noroeste has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Rio Claro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for EC Noroeste than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rio Claro than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

EC Noroeste - Rio Claro Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato Paulista A2 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 11).

Noroeste is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Rio Claro is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Noroeste will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Noroeste won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Noroeste won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EC Noroeste
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
01.03.23	Portuguesa Santista - EC Noroeste	0:4 ✺
25.02.23	Grêmio Novorizontino - EC Noroeste	2:2 ✺
19.02.23	EC Noroeste - Atlético Monte Azul	1:3 ✺
15.02.23	EC Noroeste - São Caetano	2:1 ✺
11.02.23	Comercial SP - EC Noroeste	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.8 WTLWW
- Rio Claro
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
01.03.23	Linense - Rio Claro	2:1 ✺
25.02.23	Rio Claro - São Caetano	3:1 ✺
18.02.23	Rio Claro - Piracicaba	0:2 ✺
15.02.23	Grêmio Novorizontino - Rio Claro	4:1 ✺
11.02.23	Rio Claro - Velo Clube	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Copa Paulista
12.10.21	EC Noroeste - Rio Claro	1:0
21.09.21	Rio Claro - EC Noroeste	1:1

EC Noroeste - Rio Claro: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide