Match Info

Paulista A2 - Play Offs - Final

Date: 5 April 2025, Saturday


	EC Primavera		Capivariano

	1	X	2
	2.5	2.5	3.4
	2.5	2.42	3.45
	2.51	2.35	3.79	Watch
	2.44	2.52	3.82	Watch
	2.5	2.42	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.49 ↑ (2.12)	2.44 ↓ (2.86)	3.58 ↓ (3.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

EC Primavera
36.8%

Draw
37.6%

Capivariano
25.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.1%

31.9%

25%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.8%

30.7%

24.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

EC Primavera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that EC Primavera's form might have worsened.

Capivariano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for EC Primavera than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for EC Primavera, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Capivariano than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

EC Primavera - Capivariano Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 2)
59', 0 - 1, Matheus Guilherme ⚽,
76', 1 - 1, Renatinho ⚽,
83', 1 - 2, Vinicius Popo ⚽,

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 0-0.

One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A2 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A2 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Now both teams are in good shape.

Primavera will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Primavera won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:4 (average 0.8:0.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Primavera won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:3 (average 2:1.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Capivariano - the odds 3.65 are the expected chance of winning is 25.03%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EC Primavera
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
02.04.25	Capivariano - EC Primavera	0:0 ✺
29.03.25	EC Primavera - Taubaté	2:1 ✺
23.03.25	Taubaté - EC Primavera	0:2 ✺
19.03.25	EC Primavera - Santo André	1:0 ✺
15.03.25	Santo André - EC Primavera	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 TWWWT
- Capivariano FC
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
02.04.25	Capivariano - EC Primavera	0:0 ✺
29.03.25	Capivariano - Ituano	3:1 ✺
23.03.25	Ituano - Capivariano	0:1 ✺
19.03.25	Capivariano - Piracicaba	3:1 penalties ✺
15.03.25	Piracicaba - Capivariano	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 TWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
02.04.25	Capivariano - EC Primavera	0:0
22.02.25	Capivariano - EC Primavera	1:0
Brazilian Copa Paulista
03.08.24	Capivariano - EC Primavera	0:0
30.06.24	EC Primavera - Capivariano	2:1
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
18.02.24	EC Primavera - Capivariano	2:2

EC Primavera - Capivariano: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide