Match Info

BRAZIL: Paulista A2 - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 23 March 2025, Sunday

Location: Estádio Novelli Júnior (Itu)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Canal GOAT


	Ituano		Capivariano

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.1	3.3
	1.96	3.1	3.7
	2.18	2.99	3.39	Watch
	2	3.1	3.7
	2.3	2.92	3.44	Watch
	1.96	3.1	3.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↓ (2.1)	3.05 ↓ (3.15)	3.54 ↑ (3.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ituano
44%

Draw
30.1%

Capivariano
25.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.7%

29.1%

27.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.5%

28.6%

26.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ituano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Capivariano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ituano than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Capivariano than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Ituano - Capivariano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
60', 0 - 1, Baianinho ⚽,

Preview

1st leg.

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A2 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A2 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Ituano is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Capivariano is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ituano will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Ituano won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:1 (average 1.7:0.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Ituano won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:1 (average 1.7:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ituano
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
19.03.25	Ituano - Ferroviária	4:1 penalties ✺
15.03.25	Ferroviária - Ituano	2:0 ✺
08.03.25	Ituano - Capivariano	3:0 ✺
01.03.25	Votuporanguense - Ituano	2:3 ✺
26.02.25	Ituano - Taubaté	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WLWWW
- Capivariano FC
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
19.03.25	Capivariano - Piracicaba	3:1 penalties ✺
15.03.25	Piracicaba - Capivariano	1:0 ✺
08.03.25	Ituano - Capivariano	3:0 ✺
01.03.25	Capivariano - São José-SP	1:0 ✺
26.02.25	CA Juventus - Capivariano	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
08.03.25	Ituano - Capivariano	3:0
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
28.02.16	Ituano - Capivariano	2:1
15.02.15	Ituano - Capivariano	0:0

Ituano - Capivariano: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide