Match Info

BRAZIL: Paulista A2 - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 15 March 2025, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Municipal Barao de Serra Negra (Piracicaba) 🌤️ ...


	Piracicaba		Capivariano

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.1	3.25
	2.27	2.9	3.15
	2.19	3.07	3.29	Watch
	2.18	3.22	3.33
	2.27	2.9	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↑ (2.14)	3.04 ↓ (3.12)	3.23 ↓ (3.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Piracicaba
41.5%

Draw
30.2%

Capivariano
28.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

42.8%

29.4%

27.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.2%

29.6%

27.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Piracicaba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Capivariano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Piracicaba than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Capivariano than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Piracicaba - Capivariano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
59', 1 - 0, Igor Bolt ⚽,

Preview

1st leg.

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A2 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A2 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Piracicaba is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Capivariano is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Piracicaba will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Piracicaba won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1 (average 0.5:0.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Piracicaba won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- XV de Piracicaba
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
08.03.25	Piracicaba - Taubaté	1:3 ✺
01.03.25	EC Primavera - Piracicaba	0:0 ✺
26.02.25	São José-SP - Piracicaba	2:0 ✺
23.02.25	Piracicaba - Ituano	0:0 ✺
19.02.25	Piracicaba - Ferroviária	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LTLTL
- Capivariano FC
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
08.03.25	Ituano - Capivariano	3:0 ✺
01.03.25	Capivariano - São José-SP	1:0 ✺
26.02.25	CA Juventus - Capivariano	2:2 ✺
22.02.25	Capivariano - EC Primavera	1:0 ✺
19.02.25	Linense - Capivariano	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 LWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
22.01.25	Capivariano - Piracicaba	1:1
07.02.24	Piracicaba - Capivariano	0:0

Piracicaba - Capivariano