Match Info

Paulista A3 - Round 11

Date: 4 March 2026, Wednesday


	EC São Bernardo		Rio Branco de Americana

	1	X	2
	1.82	3	4.25
	1.64	3.41	4.95
	1.85	3.22	4.14	Watch
	1.73	3.1	4.75
	1.67	3.51	5.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↓ (2)	3.25 ↑ (3.13)	4.7 ↑ (3.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

EC São Bernardo
52.4%

Draw
28.1%

Rio Branco de Americana
19.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.9%

29.3%

24.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.5%

28.3%

24%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

EC São Bernardo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in EC São Bernardo's performance.

Rio Branco de Americana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Rio Branco de Americana might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for EC São Bernardo than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rio Branco de Americana than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

EC São Bernardo - Rio Branco de Americana Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
21', 1 - 0, Joaninha ⚽,
36', 2 - 0, Gustavo Franca ⚽,
45+2', Diego Lanzarini 🟥,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
52', 3 - 0, Kevin Malthus ⚽,
79', 🟥,
85', 4 - 0, Alyson Motta ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A3 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 11).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Rio Branco may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

EC São Bernardo could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, EC São Bernardo won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EC São Bernardo
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3
01.03.26	Rio Claro - EC São Bernardo	1:0 ✺
25.02.26	EC São Bernardo - União Barbarense	0:1 ✺
20.02.26	Paulista - EC São Bernardo	0:1 ✺
14.02.26	Francana - EC São Bernardo	0:2 ✺
11.02.26	EC São Bernardo - Catanduva	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 LLWWW
- Rio Branco de Americana
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3
28.02.26	Rio Branco de Americana - União Barbarense	1:2 ✺
25.02.26	Francana - Rio Branco de Americana	0:1 ✺
21.02.26	Rio Branco de Americana - Catanduva	0:0 ✺
14.02.26	Desportivo Brasil - Rio Branco de Americana	1:1 ✺
11.02.26	Rio Branco de Americana - União São João	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LWTTT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3
18.01.25	Rio Branco de Americana - EC São Bernardo	3:1

EC São Bernardo - Rio Branco de Americana: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide