Match Info

BRAZIL: Serie C - First stage - Round 17

Date: 10 August 2024, Saturday

Location: Estádio Estadual Lourival Baptista (Aracaju)

Referee: Pinheiro L. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, DAZN Brasil, IT tv Plus, Nosso Futebol+, Sky+, Zapping


	Confiança		Remo

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.3	3	2.85
	2.35	3	2.95	Watch
	2.35	3	2.92
	2.38	2.97	3.02	Watch
	2.3	3	2.8
	2.35	3.02	2.95	Watch
	2.35	3	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↑ (2.21)	3 ↑ (2.95)	2.92 ↓ (3.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Confiança
38.7%

Draw
30.2%

Remo
31%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.4%

31%

27.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.9%

31.3%

27.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Confiança has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Remo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Confiança than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Remo than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	40%	40%

Confiança - Remo Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Confiança will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Remo will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Jeferson Souza (G) 8. Andre 4. Eduardo Junho 5. Fabio Silva 6. Felippe Borges 9. Hyuri 10. Italo 2. Lucas Mendes 3. Raphael 7. Vico 11. Willians Santana (C)	88. Marcelo Rangel (G) 4. Bruno Bispo 8. Bruno Silva (C) 7. Giovanni Pavani 22. Jaderson 5. Joao Afonso 40. Ligger 11. Pedro Vitor 95. Rodrigo Alves 6. Savio 23. Vidal
Substitutes
14. Adryan 13. Afonso 21. Douglas 15. Eduardo 20. Julio Rusch 16. Leonardo David 18. Luiz Otavio 22. Pedro Rodrigues 17. Riquelmo 12. Thiago Braga (G) 19. Thiago Santos	31. Adsson 47. Guilherme Cachoeira 30. Guty 21. Kelvin 32. Leo Lang (G) 10. Matheus Anjos 38. Rafael Castro 12. Raimar 15. Ronald 3. Sheldon 19. Ytalo
Coaches
de Freitas U.	Rodrigo Santana

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
31', Hyuri ↓, Thiago Santos ↑,
45+3', Andre 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Willians Santana ↓, Riquelmo ↑,
51', Joao Afonso ↓, Rafael Castro ↑,
67', Vico ↓, Julio Rusch ↑,
67', Italo ↓, Eduardo ↑,
68', Bruno Silva 🟨,
69', Vidal 🟨,
71', 1 - 0, Andre (Pen),
74', Vidal ↓, Guilherme Cachoeira ↑,
74', Bruno Silva ↓, Ytalo ↑,
79', Julio Rusch 🟨,
81', Giovanni Pavani ↓, Matheus Anjos ↑,
81', Rodrigo Alves ↓, Ronald ↑,
90+1', Joao Afonso 🟨,
90+4', Pedro Vitor 🟨,
90+5', Lucas Mendes ↓, Adryan ↑,

Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 14 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Confiança won 0.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Remo could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Confiança won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 10-17.

Including matches at home between the teams Confiança won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 5-12.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Confiança Aracaju
Brazilian Serie C
03.08.24	Athletic Club - Confiança	3:0 ✺
31.07.24	Caxias - Confiança	1:0 ✺
28.07.24	Confiança - Volta Redonda	4:1 ✺
22.07.24	Confiança - Ferroviário Fortaleza	1:1 ✺
13.07.24	Botafogo PB - Confiança	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 LLWTT
- Clube Do Remo
Brazilian Serie C
05.08.24	Remo - Aparecidense	1:0 ✺
27.07.24	Figueirense - Remo	1:0 ✺
22.07.24	Remo - CS Alagoano	2:1 ✺
15.07.24	Ferroviária - Remo	2:1 ✺
08.07.24	Caxias - Remo	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie C
30.05.23	Remo - Confiança	1:0
01.05.22	Confiança - Remo	1:2
Brazilian Serie B
28.11.21	Remo - Confiança	0:0
17.08.21	Confiança - Remo	1:2
Brazilian Serie C
22.07.18	Confiança - Remo	0:2
20.05.18	Remo - Confiança	0:3
06.08.17	Remo - Confiança	2:2

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