The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
ABC 58.5%
Draw 26.1%
EC São José Porto Alegre 15.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
45.8%
31.1%
23.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.2%
25.9%
27.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
ABC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in ABC's performance.
EC São José Porto Alegre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and EC São José Porto Alegre might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for ABC than the current prediction. (-20.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with ABC that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for EC São José Porto Alegre than the current prediction. (+12.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that EC São José Porto Alegre could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
71.4%
14.3%
14.3%
ABC - EC São José Porto Alegre Predictions
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. ABC will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). EC São José will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Pedro Paulo (G) 8. Adeilson Maranhao 5. Daniel 4. Eduardo Thuram 28. Felipe Albuquerque 21. Iago 18. Jenison 23. Lima 6. Lucas Sampaio 17. Richardson (C) 14. Wellington Reis
1. Fabio Rampi (G) 2. Danielzinho 10. Edinho 3. Fredson 5. Gabriel Terra 6. Lailson 11. Marcio Jonatan 7. Matheuzinho 14. Rafael Carillho 9. Rene Sousa 4. Tiago Pedra
Substitutes
12. Carlos Eduardo (G) 25. Emerson Galego 9. Jackson 16. Manoel 20. Matheus 26. Matheus Rocha 19. Pedro Felipe 7. Ruan 27. Tite 15. Walfrido 11. Wallyson 3. Wesley
16. Abnner Oliveira 20. Alessandro Vinicius 18. Evaristo 19. Gabriel Silva 13. Jadson 8. Jean Lucca 21. Nayssinho M. V. 17. Nonato 12. Peralta A. (G) 15. Samuel
Coaches
Roberto Fonseca
Zimermann R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
20', Marcio Jonatan 🟨,
33', Lima 🟨,
33', Lucas Sampaio 🟨,
44', Wellington Reis 🟨,
45+3', Tiago Pedra 🟨,
45+3', Fredson 🟨,
45+3', Manoel 🟥,
45+3', Carlos Eduardo 🟥,
45+3', Emerson Galego 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
52', Tiago Pedra ↓, Nonato ↑,
62', Lima ↓, Pedro Felipe ↑,
73', Iago ↓, Ruan ↑,
73', Wellington Reis ↓, Walfrido ↑,
73', Gabriel Terra ↓, Jadson ↑,
73', Marcio Jonatan ↓, Alessandro Vinicius ↑,
79', Adeilson Maranhao ↓, Wallyson ↑,
79', Felipe Albuquerque ↓, Matheus Rocha ↑,
83', Matheuzinho 🟨,
90+2', 🟨,
90+3', Wallyson (Pen),
90+3', 🟨,
90+4', Jadson 🟨,
90+5', Pedro Felipe 🟥,
90+7', Matheuzinho ↓, Samuel ↑,
Preview
In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 13 and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie D).
Recent matches ABC is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
EC São José Porto Alegre has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
In this match ABC is a favorite.
Last 1 head-to-head matches ABC won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.
Including matches at home between the teams ABC won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.