Match Info

SCOTLAND: League Two - Round 22

Date: 25 January 2025, Saturday

Location: Forthbank Stadium (Stirling)


	Stirling Albion		Bonnyrigg Rose

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.2	2.65
	2.52	3.3	2.73
	2.45	3.25	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.42 ↑ (2.19)	3.25 (3.25)	2.76 ↓ (2.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stirling Albion
38.1%

Draw
28.4%

Bonnyrigg Rose
33.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.9%

27.5%

31.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.9%

25.5%

34.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stirling Albion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Bonnyrigg Rose has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stirling Albion than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bonnyrigg Rose than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	75%	0%

Stirling Albion - Bonnyrigg Rose Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Stirling will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gaston D. (G) 2. McGeachie R. (C) 30. Crane C. 6. Kerr J. 22. Harkness J. 24. Grant L. 20. Waugh R. 15. Graham J. 5. McNab R. 11. Brown A. 29. Shanley R.	1. Martin P. (G) 18. Somerville K. 4. Young K. (C) 3. Martyniuk N. 15. Smutek K. 8. Arnott A. 6. Murphy S. 9. McGachie K. 22. Connolly C. 11. Barrett B. 19. Ross C.
Substitutes
4. Cant R. 9. Carrick D. 12. Knox C. 10. Roy A. 27. Smith J. (G) 3. Sula E. 14. Trialist 18. Weir A. 19. Wright H.	25. Andrews M. (G) 10. Currie L. 7. Ferrie M. 20. Lennon G. 21. Porteous R. 24. Scarborough B. 16. Stenhouse L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
2', 1 - 0, Graham J. ⚽, Brown A. (A),
18', Somerville K. ↓, Stenhouse L. ↑,
25', Young K. 🟨,
26', Kerr J. (Pen),
32', Ross C. 🟨,
39', 2 - 0, McNab R. ⚽,
41', Crane C. 🟨,
45', 3 - 0, Brown A. ⚽,
45+2', Waugh R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Graham J. ↓, Carrick D. ↑,
64', Barrett B. ↓, Lennon G. ↑,
64', McGachie K. ↓, Ferrie M. ↑,
64', Young K. ↓, Currie L. ↑,
64', Connolly C. ↓, Porteous R. ↑,
66', Crane C. ↓, Trialist ↑,
66', Brown A. ↓, Wright H. ↑,
77', Waugh R. ↓, Knox C. ↑,
81', Martyniuk N. 🟨,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Stirling won 3.

Recent matches Stirling is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Bonnyrigg is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recently Stirling have a series of guest games.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Stirling won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7:8 (average 1.2:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Stirling won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:4 (average 1.3:1.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Bonnyrigg Rose - the odds 2.83 are the expected chance of winning is 31.58%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stirling Albion
Scottish League Two
18.01.25	Peterhead - Stirling Albion	3:2 ✺
04.01.25	Clyde - Stirling Albion	2:0 ✺
28.12.24	Forfar Athletic - Stirling Albion	2:2 ✺
21.12.24	Stirling Albion - Stranraer	1:1 ✺
14.12.24	Elgin City - Stirling Albion	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LLTTW
- Bonnyrigg Rose
Scottish League Two
21.01.25	Bonnyrigg Rose - Spartans	2:2 ✺
04.01.25	Edinburgh City - Bonnyrigg Rose	2:0 ✺
21.12.24	Peterhead - Bonnyrigg Rose	2:0 ✺
14.12.24	Forfar Athletic - Bonnyrigg Rose	5:1 ✺
03.12.24	Bonnyrigg Rose - Stirling Albion	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 TLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Scottish League Two
03.12.24	Bonnyrigg Rose - Stirling Albion	2:1
21.09.24	Stirling Albion - Bonnyrigg Rose	0:2
11.03.23	Stirling Albion - Bonnyrigg Rose	2:1
14.02.23	Bonnyrigg Rose - Stirling Albion	1:2
29.10.22	Stirling Albion - Bonnyrigg Rose	2:1
27.08.22	Bonnyrigg Rose - Stirling Albion	1:0

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