Match Info

League Two - Round 34

Date: 18 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Stair Park (Stranraer)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Stranraer FC LIVE


	Stranraer		Forfar Athletic

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.1	2.9
	2.2	3.1	2.9
	2.28	3.1	3
	2.32	3.15	3.05
	2.29	3.28	2.9	Watch
	2.3	3	3
	2.28	3.04	3.01
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↑ (2.07)	3.11 ↓ (3.23)	2.97 ↓ (3.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stranraer
40%

Draw
29.3%

Forfar Athletic
30.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.9%

28.1%

28%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.4%

29%

27.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stranraer has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Forfar Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stranraer than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Stranraer, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Forfar Athletic than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

Stranraer - Forfar Athletic Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Tas L. (G) 14. Dunne E. 5. McGrath J. 4. Reid L. 22. Coll B. 19. Turay S. 8. Quigg A. 21. Gillies M. 2. Stuart J. 17. McManus D. 24. Lang D.	1. McCallum M. (G) 2. Lynas A. 5. Allan M. 4. Morrison S. 22. Bright S. 14. Mailer A. 26. Alston B. 8. Slater C. 24. Wilson C. 19. Sutherland J. 9. Shepherd S.
Substitutes
6. Docherty S. 7. Dolan J. 3. Ecrepont F. 25. Edgar R. 13. Henderson E. (G) 15. Hughes R. 23. Hunter L. 18. Lynch E. 10. McKnight K.	6. Dolzanski J. 25. Haddow A. 15. Lemon M. 7. MacLean R. 11. Pasnik T. 10. Rennie M. 17. Richardson J. 3. Strachan M. 21. Vitols R. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
9', Slater C. 🟨,
11', Mailer A. 🟨,
14', Morrison S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Wilson C. ↓, Haddow A. ↑,
58', Turay S. ↓, Dolan J. ↑,
62', 0 - 1, Sutherland J. ⚽, Slater C. (A),
66', Gillies M. 🟨,
73', Stuart J. ↓, Hughes R. ↑,
73', McManus D. ↓, Hunter L. ↑,
73', Gillies M. ↓, Edgar R. ↑,
74', Allan M. ↓, Dolzanski J. ↑,
79', Coll B. ↓, Ecrepont F. ↑,
84', Lynas A. 🟨,
85', Alston B. 🟨,
89', Hunter L. 🟨,
90+2', Shepherd S. ↓, Rennie M. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stranraer won 1.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Stranraer won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 18:30. (average 0.9:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Stranraer won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 7:11. (average 0.8:1.2).

Outrights of Scottish League Two for now

Stranraer: 16.43% Forfar Athletic: 3.2%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Stranraer	9	5	2	2	17:8	9	17
7	Forfar Athletic	9	3	2	4	9:15	-6	11

Last Results with these Odds

Forfar Athletic - the odds 3.25 are the expected chance of winning is 27.99%, but this team recently wins 15% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stranraer FC
Scottish League Two
11.04.26	Spartans - Stranraer	1:2 ✺
04.04.26	Stranraer - Dumbarton	1:1 ✺
28.03.26	Annan Athletic - Stranraer	1:0 ✺
24.03.26	Stranraer - Clyde	3:1 ✺
21.03.26	Clyde - Stranraer	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 WTLWL
- Forfar Athletic
Scottish League Two
11.04.26	Forfar Athletic - East Kilbride	1:0 ✺
04.04.26	Forfar Athletic - Elgin City	2:1 ✺
28.03.26	Dumbarton - Forfar Athletic	2:2 ✺
24.03.26	Elgin City - Forfar Athletic	2:0 ✺
21.03.26	Forfar Athletic - Spartans	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 WWTLT

Latest Head to Head

Scottish League Two
10.01.26	Forfar Athletic - Stranraer	2:2
01.11.25	Stranraer - Forfar Athletic	3:1
02.08.25	Forfar Athletic - Stranraer	1:0
22.03.25	Stranraer - Forfar Athletic	0:1
04.03.25	Stranraer - Forfar Athletic	1:2
25.01.25	Forfar Athletic - Stranraer	0:1
21.09.24	Forfar Athletic - Stranraer	2:1

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