Match Info

League Two - Round 27

Date: 28 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Stair Park (Stranraer)


	Stranraer		Elgin City

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.4	3
	2.05	3.25	3.1
	2.08	3.4	3.15
	2.16	3.48	3.12
	1.9	3.76	3.38	Watch
	2.1	3.25	3.25
	2.14	3.54	3.13
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↑ (2.05)	3.44 ↑ (3.42)	3.16 ↑ (3.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stranraer
44.3%

Draw
26.7%

Elgin City
29%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.5%

26.6%

28.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.7%

25.9%

28.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stranraer has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Elgin City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stranraer than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elgin City than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	50%	0%

Stranraer - Elgin City Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Stranraer will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Stranraer (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Currie M. (G) 14. Dunne E. 5. McGrath J. 4. Reid L. 22. Coll B. (C) 10. McKnight K. 21. Gillies M. 17. McManus D. 16. Plank D. 52. Clelland D. 24. Lang D.	1. Ritchie T. (G) 12. Cairns O. 16. Neill M. 6. Murray J. 27. Machado M. 4. Virtanen M. 20. Spalding A. 10. Gallagher M. 7. Dingwall R. (C) 9. Hester K. 11. Sargent R.
Substitutes
6. Docherty S. 7. Dolan J. 3. Ecrepont F. 15. Hughes R. 23. Hunter L. 18. O'Donnell C. 8. Quigg A. 31. Tas L. (G) 19. Turay S.	8. Cameron B. 5. Girvan K. 26. Hickey R. 17. Hyde L. 19. Mercer J. 21. Taylor C. (G) 25. Thompson R. 24. Walker J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
17', 1 - 0, Clelland D. ⚽, Lang D. (A),
21', Murray J. 🟨,
44', 1 - 1, Hester K. ⚽, Gallagher M. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
59', McKnight K. ↓, Quigg A. ↑,
69', Dunne E. ↓, Docherty S. ↑,
69', McManus D. ↓, Dolan J. ↑,
69', Clelland D. ↓, O'Donnell C. ↑,
76', Gallagher M. ↓, Walker J. ↑,
76', Machado M. ↓, Hyde L. ↑,
81', Docherty S. 🟨,
82', Hester K. ↓, Girvan K. ↑,
82', Spalding A. ↓, Hickey R. ↑,
84', Plank D. ↓, Hughes R. ↑,
87', 1 - 2, Girvan K. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stranraer won 2.

Stranraer is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Elgin has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Stranraer may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Elgin has had a series of home games.

Stranraer might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Stranraer won 9 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 27:26. (average 1.4:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Stranraer won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:13. (average 1.6:1.3).

Outrights of Scottish League Two for now

Stranraer: 16.43% Elgin City: 11.71%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Stranraer	9	5	2	2	17:8	9	17
3	Elgin City	9	4	2	3	25:16	9	14

Last Results with these Odds

Elgin City - the odds 3.15 are the expected chance of winning is 28.88%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stranraer FC
Scottish League Two
21.02.26	Stranraer - Spartans	2:1 ✺
07.02.26	Stranraer - Annan Athletic	0:0 ✺
31.01.26	Stirling Albion - Stranraer	1:1 ✺
24.01.26	East Kilbride - Stranraer	0:2 ✺
Scottish Cup
20.01.26	Stranraer - Queens Park	2:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.5 WTTWW
- Elgin City
Scottish League Two
24.02.26	Elgin City - Edinburgh City	3:0 ✺
21.02.26	Elgin City - Stirling Albion	1:0 ✺
17.02.26	Elgin City - East Kilbride	1:6 ✺
10.02.26	Clyde - Elgin City	1:1 ✺
Scottish Cup
07.02.26	Elgin City - Partick Thistle	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Scottish League Two
13.12.25	Elgin City - Stranraer	1:2
20.09.25	Stranraer - Elgin City	1:1
26.04.25	Elgin City - Stranraer	3:0
15.02.25	Stranraer - Elgin City	1:0
02.11.24	Elgin City - Stranraer	1:0
24.08.24	Stranraer - Elgin City	1:1
16.03.24	Stranraer - Elgin City	1:2

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