Match Info

Challenge Cup - Round 3

Date: 6 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Ochilview Park (Stenhousemuir)


	Stenhousemuir		Kilmarnock 2

	1	X	2
	1.45	4	5.5
	1.34	5	6
	1.47	4.55	5.5
	1.47	4.5	5.5
	1.55	4.04	5.27	Watch
	1.42	4.45	6.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↑ (1.26)	4.42 ↓ (5.1)	5.71 ↓ (8.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stenhousemuir
63.2%

Draw
20.7%

Kilmarnock 2
16.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

72%

17.8%

10.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stenhousemuir has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Stenhousemuir's form might have worsened.

Kilmarnock 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Kilmarnock 2's recent form is better than expected.

Stenhousemuir - Kilmarnock 2 Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Stenhousemuir (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
20', 1 - 0, Buchanan G. ⚽, Taylor R. (A),
38', 2 - 0, O'Reilly E. ⚽, Meechan R. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
48', 3 - 0, Aitken M. ⚽, Simpson O. (A),
54', 4 - 0, Taylor R. ⚽, Aitken M. (A),
63', Craig R. 🟥,

Preview

Stenhousemuir is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Kilmarnock 2 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Stenhousemuir is the clear favorite.

We predict that Stenhousemuir will win today's game, with odds of 1.36.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stenhousemuir
Scottish League One
30.08.25	Stenhousemuir - East Fife	1:1 ✺
Scottish Challenge Cup
26.08.25	Annan Athletic - Stenhousemuir	1:3 ✺
Scottish League One
23.08.25	Stenhousemuir - Queen of the South	0:0 ✺
16.08.25	Inverness - Stenhousemuir	1:2 ✺
Scottish Challenge Cup
12.08.25	Stenhousemuir - Glasgow Rangers B	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.8 TWTWW
- Kilmarnock 2
Scottish Challenge Cup
26.08.25	East Fife - Kilmarnock 2	3:2 ✺
13.08.25	Edinburgh City - Kilmarnock 2	1:0 ✺
30.07.24	Cowdenbeath - Kilmarnock 2	4:2 ✺
16.08.23	Kilmarnock 2 - Dumbarton	1:2 penalties ✺
01.08.23	Kilmarnock 2 - Bonnyrigg Rose	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLLLW

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