Match Info

Challenge Cup - Round 4

Date: 23 September 2025, Tuesday

Location: Recreation Park (Alloa)


	Alloa Athletic		Kilmarnock 2

	1	X	2
	1.25	6.5	6.25
	1.33	5.3	7.1
	1.35	4.9	6.44
	1.52	4.07	5.67	Watch
	1.34	4.9	7.49
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↓ (1.38)	5.13 ↑ (5.07)	6.59 ↑ (5.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alloa Athletic
68%

Draw
18%

Kilmarnock 2
14%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.2%

18%

15.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alloa Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Kilmarnock 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Alloa Athletic - Kilmarnock 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
34', 1 - 0, Rankin L. ⚽, Scougall S. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
61', Rankin L. (Pen),
63', 2 - 0, Rankin L. ⚽,
78', 3 - 0, Sammon C. ⚽, Rankin L. (A),

Preview

In recent matches, Alloa has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Alloa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Alloa has had a series of home games.

In this match, Alloa is the obvious favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alloa Athletic
Scottish League One
20.09.25	Alloa Athletic - Cove Rangers	2:1 ✺
13.09.25	Alloa Athletic - Montrose	0:1 ✺
Scottish Challenge Cup
06.09.25	Alloa Athletic - Celtic B	5:4 ✺
Scottish League One
30.08.25	Inverness - Alloa Athletic	1:0 ✺
Scottish Challenge Cup
26.08.25	Alloa Athletic - St. Mirren 2	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WLWLL
- Kilmarnock 2
Scottish Challenge Cup
06.09.25	Stenhousemuir - Kilmarnock 2	4:0 ✺
26.08.25	East Fife - Kilmarnock 2	3:2 ✺
13.08.25	Edinburgh City - Kilmarnock 2	1:0 ✺
30.07.24	Cowdenbeath - Kilmarnock 2	4:2 ✺
16.08.23	Kilmarnock 2 - Dumbarton	1:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

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