Match Info

Date: 12 February 2022, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	East Thurrock United		Margate

	1	X	2
	4.2	4.4	1.53
	4.8	3.95	1.55
	5.18	4.26	1.57
	4.2	4.5	1.53
	4.9	4.25	1.56
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.66 ↑ (4.24)	4.27 ↓ (4.5)	1.55 (1.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

East Thurrock United
19.6%

Draw
21.4%

Margate
59%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

21.4%

20.1%

58.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.7%

16.6%

70.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

East Thurrock United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Margate has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for East Thurrock United than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Margate than the current prediction. (+11.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Margate could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

East Thurrock United - Margate Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation and 8).

East Thurrock has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Margate is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

East Thurrock could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Margate is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Margate to win the game is with odds 1.55.

Last 15 head-to-head matches East Thurrock won 4 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 12-16.

Including matches at home between the teams East Thurrock won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- East Thurrock United
English Isthmian League Premier Division
05.02.22	Lewes - East Thurrock United	3:2 ✺
29.01.22	East Thurrock United - Haringey Borough	1:3 ✺
22.01.22	Bishops Stortford - East Thurrock United	4:1 ✺
03.01.22	Wingate & Finchley - East Thurrock United	5:0 ✺
01.01.22	East Thurrock United - Cray Wanderers	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Margate
English Isthmian League Premier Division
08.02.22	Leatherhead - Margate	0:0 ✺
05.02.22	Margate - Horsham	1:0 ✺
29.01.22	Enfield Town - Margate	4:0 ✺
22.01.22	Margate - Corinthian-Casuals	3:1 ✺
15.01.22	Margate - Hornchurch	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 TWLWL

Latest Head to Head

English Isthmian League Premier Division
26.10.21	Margate - East Thurrock United	2:0
11.01.20	Margate - East Thurrock United	0:1
01.10.19	East Thurrock United - Margate	1:2
English National League South
21.02.17	East Thurrock United - Margate	1:0
English FA Trophy
29.11.16	East Thurrock United - Margate	2:0
26.11.16	Margate - East Thurrock United	1:1
English National League South
06.09.16	Margate - East Thurrock United	2:1

East Thurrock United - Margate

Match Info

Current Win Probability

East Thurrock United - Margate Predictions

Preview

Form

Latest Head to Head

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