Match Info

Date: 3 January 2022, Monday


	Wingate & Finchley		East Thurrock United

	1	X	2
	1.98	3.7	2.85
	2.09	3.65	2.8
	2.03	3.76	3.26
	2	3.25	3.1
	1.99	3.7	3.24
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↓ (2.03)	3.61 ↓ (3.68)	3.05 ↑ (2.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wingate & Finchley
45%

Draw
25.2%

East Thurrock United
29.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.5%

24.5%

31%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.8%

17.5%

43.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wingate & Finchley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

East Thurrock United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wingate & Finchley than the current prediction. (-13.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Wingate & Finchley that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for East Thurrock United than the current prediction. (+13.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that East Thurrock United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Wingate & Finchley - East Thurrock United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 18 and 21 in the zone Relegation).

One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.

Wingate & Finchley will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Wingate & Finchley won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 13-17.

Including matches at home between the teams Wingate & Finchley won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10-11.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wingate & Finchley
English Isthmian League Premier Division
01.01.22	Merstham - Wingate & Finchley	3:1 ✺
27.12.21	Wingate & Finchley - Haringey Borough	1:2 ✺
18.12.21	Margate - Wingate & Finchley	0:1 ✺
11.12.21	Wingate & Finchley - Hornchurch	1:2 ✺
04.12.21	Corinthian-Casuals - Wingate & Finchley	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 LLWLT
- East Thurrock United
English Isthmian League Premier Division
01.01.22	East Thurrock United - Cray Wanderers	1:3 ✺
27.12.21	Brightlingsea Regent - East Thurrock United	2:1 ✺
15.12.21	Kingstonian - East Thurrock United	0:1 ✺
11.12.21	Horsham - East Thurrock United	3:1 ✺
04.12.21	East Thurrock United - Bowers & Pitsea	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

English Isthmian League Premier Division
08.02.20	Wingate & Finchley - East Thurrock United	2:1
02.11.19	East Thurrock United - Wingate & Finchley	3:1
02.04.16	Wingate & Finchley - East Thurrock United	1:3
21.11.15	East Thurrock United - Wingate & Finchley	1:1
13.12.14	Wingate & Finchley - East Thurrock United	3:4
16.08.14	East Thurrock United - Wingate & Finchley	0:0
08.03.14	East Thurrock United - Wingate & Finchley	0:1

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