Match Info

ENGLAND: ISTHMIAN LEAGUE PREMIER DIVISION - ROUND 18

Date: 2 December 2023, Saturday


	Enfield Town		Margate

	1	X	2
	1.6	3.8	4.33
	1.63	3.75	4.5
	1.63	4.33	4.35
	1.64	4.33	4.36
	1.57	3.75	4.33
	1.6	3.94	4.5
	1.63	3.75	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↑ (1.51)	3.95 ↓ (4.2)	4.41 ↓ (5.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Enfield Town
56.3%

Draw
23%

Margate
20.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.9%

21.9%

17.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.3%

21.4%

16.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Enfield Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Margate has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Enfield Town than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Enfield Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Margate than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

Enfield Town - Margate Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Isthmian League Premier Division (Play Offs: ) and 16).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Enfield won 3.

Recent matches Enfield is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Margate is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Margate could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Margate have a series of guest games.

In this match Enfield is a favorite.

Last 16 head-to-head matches Enfield won 8 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 29-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Enfield won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 15-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Enfield Town
English Isthmian League Premier Division
25.11.23	Chatham Town - Enfield Town	3:1 ✺
21.11.23	Enfield Town - Whitehawk	4:4 ✺
18.11.23	Enfield Town - Hastings United	3:1 ✺
11.11.23	Enfield Town - Canvey Island	3:0 ✺
04.11.23	Hornchurch - Enfield Town	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LTWWL
- Margate
English Isthmian League Premier Division
28.11.23	Bognor Regis Town - Margate	2:2 ✺
25.11.23	Margate - Billericay Town	1:3 ✺
21.11.23	Horsham - Margate	1:0 ✺
18.11.23	Wingate & Finchley - Margate	1:0 ✺
11.11.23	Dulwich Hamlet - Margate	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 TLLLT

Latest Head to Head

English Isthmian League Premier Division
25.02.23	Enfield Town - Margate	0:0
24.09.22	Margate - Enfield Town	2:5
29.01.22	Enfield Town - Margate	4:0
25.09.21	Margate - Enfield Town	2:1
20.10.20	Enfield Town - Margate	1:0
28.01.20	Margate - Enfield Town	0:3
02.02.19	Enfield Town - Margate	4:0

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