Match Info

ENGLAND: National League South - Round 4

Date: 24 August 2024, Saturday


	Eastbourne Borough		Aveley

	1	X	2
	1.87	3.3	3.5
	1.87	3.6	3.75
	1.9	3.66	3.76
	1.87	3.57	3.68	Watch
	1.89	3.54	3.75
	1.87	3.6	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↑ (1.74)	3.55 ↓ (3.8)	3.7 ↓ (4.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Eastbourne Borough
49.1%

Draw
26%

Aveley
24.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.3%

24.4%

22.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.4%

23.9%

21.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Eastbourne Borough has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Aveley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eastbourne Borough than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Eastbourne Borough, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aveley than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Eastbourne Borough - Aveley Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
5', 0 - 1, Anifowose J. (Own goal),
29', 1 - 1, Quick D. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
51', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Recent matches Eastbourne is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Aveley is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Eastbourne will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Eastbourne won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Eastbourne won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Eastbourne Borough
English National League South
20.08.24	Farnborough - Eastbourne Borough	2:0 ✺
17.08.24	Hornchurch - Eastbourne Borough	0:1 ✺
10.08.24	Eastbourne Borough - Chesham United	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
16.07.24	Eastbourne Borough - Whitehawk	5:2 ✺
13.07.24	Eastbourne Borough - Hashtag United	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LWTWT
- Aveley
English National League South
19.08.24	Aveley - Hemel Hempstead Town	0:1 ✺
17.08.24	Aveley - Tonbridge Angels	2:2 ✺
10.08.24	Welling United - Aveley	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
23.07.24	Canvey Island - Aveley	2:2 ✺
13.07.24	Aveley - Billericay Town	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LTLTT

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
23.01.24	Eastbourne Borough - Aveley	1:2
14.08.23	Aveley - Eastbourne Borough	2:0

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