Match Info

ENGLAND: FA Trophy - 1/64-finals

Date: 16 November 2024, Saturday


	Aveley		Hemel Hempstead Town

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.4	2.25
	2.8	3.55	2.27
	2.61	3.63	2.42
	2.71	3.61	2.39	Watch
	2.7	3.4	2.25
	2.64	3.48	2.36
	2.8	3.55	2.27
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.69 ↓ (2.81)	3.52 ↓ (3.6)	2.32 ↑ (2.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aveley
34.2%

Draw
26.1%

Hemel Hempstead Town
39.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.9%

25.7%

41.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.7%

27.9%

38.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aveley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Hemel Hempstead Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aveley than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hemel Hempstead Town than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Aveley - Hemel Hempstead Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 1)
58', 1 - 0, Anifowose J. ⚽,
70', 2 - 0, Kabongolo B. ⚽,
75', 2 - 1, Ibie S. ⚽,

Preview

Recent matches Aveley is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Hemel Hempstead has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Aveley could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Aveley won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6:5 (average 2:1.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Aveley won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:2 (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aveley
English National League South
09.11.24	Aveley - Boreham Wood	1:0 ✺
05.11.24	Worthing - Aveley	2:1 ✺
02.11.24	Aveley - Weymouth	0:1 ✺
26.10.24	Weston-super-Mare - Aveley	4:1 ✺
19.10.24	Enfield Town - Aveley	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 WLLLW
- Hemel Hempstead Town
English National League South
11.11.24	Hemel Hempstead Town - Weston-super-Mare	0:1 ✺
09.11.24	Hemel Hempstead Town - Hampton & Richmond Borough	0:4 ✺
05.11.24	Hornchurch - Hemel Hempstead Town	1:0 ✺
02.11.24	Hemel Hempstead Town - Eastbourne Borough	2:5 ✺
26.10.24	Maidstone United - Hemel Hempstead Town	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
19.08.24	Aveley - Hemel Hempstead Town	0:1
29.03.24	Hemel Hempstead Town - Aveley	3:4
06.11.23	Aveley - Hemel Hempstead Town	2:1

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