Match Info

Isthmian League Premier Division - Round 22

Date: 12 December 2025, Friday


	Aveley		Billericay Town

	1	X	2
	2.58	3.45	2.32
	2.7	3.66	2.2
	2.67	3.77	2.24	Watch
	2.63	3.3	2.25
	2.57	3.42	2.32
	2.9	3.75	2.08
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.68 ↑ (2.33)	3.56 ↑ (3.51)	2.24 ↓ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aveley
33.9%

Draw
25.5%

Billericay Town
40.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.1%

25.9%

35%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.5%

26.3%

35.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aveley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Aveley's form might have worsened.

Billericay Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Billericay Town's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aveley than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Billericay Town than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Billericay Town, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Aveley - Billericay Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 1)
8', 0 - 1, Long E. ⚽,
17', 1 - 1, Harris C. ⚽,
18', 2 - 1, Harris C. ⚽,
38', 3 - 1, Harris C. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
56', 3 - 2, Long E. ⚽,
68', 3 - 3, Scott R. ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 6 and 11).

Aveley is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Billericay has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Billericay may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Aveley has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Aveley won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:5. (average 0.3:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Aveley won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3. (average 0.3:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aveley
English Isthmian League Premier Division
28.11.25	Brentwood Town - Aveley	3:3 ✺
22.11.25	Aveley - Wingate & Finchley	2:0 ✺
15.11.25	Carshalton Athletic - Aveley	1:1 ✺
08.11.25	Whitehawk - Aveley	0:1 ✺
04.11.25	Cray Valley Paper Mills - Aveley	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 TWTWW
- Billericay Town
English Isthmian League Premier Division
06.12.25	Billericay Town - Dulwich Hamlet	1:2 ✺
29.11.25	Wingate & Finchley - Billericay Town	2:2 ✺
22.11.25	Billericay Town - Welling United	6:1 ✺
15.11.25	Whitehawk - Billericay Town	0:0 ✺
11.11.25	Billericay Town - Dartford	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
13.07.24	Aveley - Billericay Town	0:0
English Isthmian League Premier Division
20.12.22	Billericay Town - Aveley	2:0
15.08.22	Aveley - Billericay Town	1:0
Club Friendly
16.07.18	Aveley - Billericay Town	0:3

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