Match Info

National League South - Round 27

Date: 17 January 2026, Saturday


	Hornchurch		Eastbourne Borough

	1	X	2
	1.82	3.6	3.8
	1.79	3.94	3.88	Watch
	1.8	3.6	3.9
	1.74	3.68	3.95
	1.77	3.8	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↑ (1.66)	3.72 ↓ (3.96)	3.87 ↓ (4.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hornchurch
51.5%

Draw
24.7%

Eastbourne Borough
23.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.8%

23.4%

20.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.1%

22.5%

19.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hornchurch has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

Eastbourne Borough has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hornchurch than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hornchurch, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Eastbourne Borough than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Hornchurch - Eastbourne Borough Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
17', 1 - 0, Balanta A. ⚽,
37', 2 - 0, Gibbs H. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 23 in the zone Relegation).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Eastbourne may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Hornchurch is considered a favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hornchurch won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:5. (average 0.8:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Hornchurch won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:2. (average 0:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AFC Hornchurch
English National League South
30.12.25	Hornchurch - Maidstone United	1:2 ✺
26.12.25	Dagenham & Redbridge - Hornchurch	2:3 ✺
20.12.25	Hornchurch - Enfield Town	2:2 ✺
English FA Trophy
13.12.25	Dover Athletic - Hornchurch	1:4 ✺
English National League South
06.12.25	Maidenhead United - Hornchurch	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LWTWL
- Eastbourne Borough
English National League South
06.01.26	Eastbourne Borough - Horsham	0:2 ✺
03.01.26	Slough Town - Eastbourne Borough	2:1 ✺
30.12.25	Tonbridge Angels - Eastbourne Borough	3:4 ✺
26.12.25	Eastbourne Borough - Worthing	0:3 ✺
20.12.25	Dover Athletic - Eastbourne Borough	2:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
16.08.25	Eastbourne Borough - Hornchurch	1:2
14.12.24	Eastbourne Borough - Hornchurch	1:1
17.08.24	Hornchurch - Eastbourne Borough	0:1
02.02.13	Eastbourne Borough - Hornchurch	1:1
20.10.12	Hornchurch - Eastbourne Borough	0:1

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