Match Info

National League South - Round 38

Date: 10 March 2026, Tuesday 🏁 Finished


	Eastbourne Borough		Ebbsfleet United

	1	X	2
	4.05	3.65	1.75
	3.88	3.68	1.82
	3.93	3.8	1.81	Watch
	3.9	3.4	1.83
	4.01	3.5	1.77
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.95 ↑ (3.43)	3.61 ↓ (3.69)	1.8 ↓ (1.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Eastbourne Borough
23.3%

Draw
25.5%

Ebbsfleet United
51.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

27%

25.1%

47.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.3%

24.5%

49%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Eastbourne Borough has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Ebbsfleet United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eastbourne Borough than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ebbsfleet United than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Eastbourne Borough - Ebbsfleet United Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Ebbsfleet will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Ebbsfleet (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
11', 1 - 0, May A. ⚽,
30', 1 - 1, Olagunju M. ⚽,
36', 1 - 2, Seaman C. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
50', 1 - 3, Hessenthaler J. ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Eastbourne won 2.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Ebbsfleet could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Eastbourne won 2 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 15:26. (average 0.9:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Eastbourne won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:9. (average 0.9:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Ebbsfleet	12	8	4	0	29:7	22	28

Outrights of English National League South for now

Ebbsfleet: 21.36%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Eastbourne Borough
English National League South
07.03.26	Salisbury - Eastbourne Borough	2:0 ✺
28.02.26	Hampton & Richmond Borough - Eastbourne Borough	1:2 ✺
24.02.26	Eastbourne Borough - Dorking Wanderers	1:2 ✺
21.02.26	Eastbourne Borough - Torquay United	4:2 ✺
17.02.26	Chesham United - Eastbourne Borough	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 LWLWL
- Ebbsfleet United
English National League South
07.03.26	Ebbsfleet United - Torquay United	3:0 ✺
28.02.26	Ebbsfleet United - Farnborough	2:2 ✺
24.02.26	Horsham - Ebbsfleet United	1:1 ✺
21.02.26	Chesham United - Ebbsfleet United	4:1 ✺
17.02.26	Bath City - Ebbsfleet United	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WTTLT

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
04.10.25	Ebbsfleet United - Eastbourne Borough	2:2
13.12.22	Ebbsfleet United - Eastbourne Borough	0:2
English FA Trophy
19.11.22	Ebbsfleet United - Eastbourne Borough	0:1
English National League South
16.08.22	Eastbourne Borough - Ebbsfleet United	2:3
26.02.22	Ebbsfleet United - Eastbourne Borough	2:0
23.10.21	Eastbourne Borough - Ebbsfleet United	0:1
10.11.20	Eastbourne Borough - Ebbsfleet United	1:1

Eastbourne Borough - Ebbsfleet United