Match Info

National League South - Round 37

Date: 7 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Stonebridge Road Stadium (Northfleet)


	Ebbsfleet United		Torquay United

	1	X	2
	2.02	3.5	3.2
	1.97	3.65	3.53
	2.12	3.63	3.1	Watch
	1.95	3.4	3.4
	1.97	3.73	3.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↓ (2.13)	3.58 ↓ (3.59)	3.33 ↑ (2.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ebbsfleet United
46.2%

Draw
25.9%

Torquay United
27.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.1%

25.6%

31.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.4%

24.9%

30.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ebbsfleet United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Torquay United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ebbsfleet United than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Torquay United than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Ebbsfleet United - Torquay United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
30', 1 - 0, Samuel D. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
57', 2 - 0, Appiah K. ⚽,
69', Worthington M. 🟥,
81', 3 - 0, Wyllie M. ⚽,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Recent performances by Ebbsfleet have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Torquay has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Torquay may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Ebbsfleet is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ebbsfleet won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:7. (average 0.6:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Ebbsfleet won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 1:2.5).

Outrights of English National League South for now

Torquay: 14.21% Ebbsfleet: 3.01%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	Torquay	10	3	4	3	13:14	-1	13
14	Ebbsfleet	6	3	3	0	7:3	4	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ebbsfleet United
English National League South
28.02.26	Ebbsfleet United - Farnborough	2:2 ✺
24.02.26	Horsham - Ebbsfleet United	1:1 ✺
21.02.26	Chesham United - Ebbsfleet United	4:1 ✺
17.02.26	Bath City - Ebbsfleet United	2:2 ✺
14.02.26	Ebbsfleet United - Totton	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 TTLTW
- Torquay United
English National League South
03.03.26	Torquay United - Farnborough	2:2 ✺
28.02.26	Torquay United - Chelmsford City	0:5 ✺
24.02.26	Worthing - Torquay United	3:1 ✺
21.02.26	Eastbourne Borough - Torquay United	4:2 ✺
14.02.26	Torquay United - Maidenhead United	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 TLLLT

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
20.09.25	Torquay United - Ebbsfleet United	1:0
English National League
25.01.20	Torquay United - Ebbsfleet United	0:0
08.10.19	Ebbsfleet United - Torquay United	2:4
28.04.18	Torquay United - Ebbsfleet United	1:1
24.10.17	Ebbsfleet United - Torquay United	0:1

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