Match Info

National League South - Round 35

Date: 24 February 2026, Tuesday

Location: The Fusion Aviation Community Stadium (Horsham)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DAZN
Bolivia	DAZN
Brazil	DAZN Brasil
Canada	DAZN Canada
Ecuador	DAZN
France	DAZN France
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Paraguay	DAZN
Portugal	DAZN / App
Spain	DAZN Espana
United-kingdom	DAZN
Uruguay	DAZN
Usa	DAZN USA
Venezuela	DAZN


	Horsham		Ebbsfleet United

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.1	2.3
	2.72	3.3	2.38
	2.77	3.57	2.34	Watch
	2.8	3.25	2.3
	2.81	3.22	2.31
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.76 ↓ (2.84)	3.29 ↓ (3.38)	2.33 (2.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Horsham
33%

Draw
27.7%

Ebbsfleet United
39.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.7%

27.5%

39.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.4%

27.8%

40.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Horsham has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Ebbsfleet United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Horsham than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ebbsfleet United than the current prediction. (+1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	25%	50%

Horsham - Ebbsfleet United Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Horsham will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Ebbsfleet will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Ebbsfleet (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, Murphy R. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
53', 1 - 1, Samuel D. ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 11 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Horsham won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Outrights of English National League South for now

Ebbsfleet: 3.01% Horsham FC: 1.91%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Ebbsfleet	6	3	3	0	7:3	4	12
17	Horsham FC	9	2	5	2	9:10	-1	11

Last Results with these Odds

Horsham - the odds 2.84 are the expected chance of winning is 32.69%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.

Ebbsfleet United - the odds 2.33 are the expected chance of winning is 39.84%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Horsham FC
English National League South
21.02.26	Horsham - Hemel Hempstead Town	2:0 ✺
17.02.26	Enfield Town - Horsham	2:1 ✺
14.02.26	Slough Town - Horsham	0:0 ✺
10.02.26	Horsham - Dagenham & Redbridge	1:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
31.01.26	Scunthorpe United - Horsham	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.9 WLTTW
- Ebbsfleet United
English National League South
21.02.26	Chesham United - Ebbsfleet United	4:1 ✺
17.02.26	Bath City - Ebbsfleet United	2:2 ✺
14.02.26	Ebbsfleet United - Totton	4:0 ✺
10.02.26	Ebbsfleet United - Enfield Town	2:2 ✺
07.02.26	Salisbury - Ebbsfleet United	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LTWTT

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
25.11.25	Ebbsfleet United - Horsham	1:2

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