Match Info

League Cup - 1/16-finals

Date: 26 September 2026, Saturday


	Eastern AA		Kitchee

	1	X	2
	4.10	3.00	1.85
	3.72	3.27	1.89
	4.49	3.22	1.86
	3.8	3.2	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.03 ↓ (4.39)	3.17 ↓ (3.7)	1.86 ↑ (1.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Eastern AA
22.6%

Draw
28.6%

Kitchee
48.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.2%

25.1%

53.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.9%

24.7%

54.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Eastern AA has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Kitchee has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Eastern AA than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kitchee than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kitchee could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Eastern AA - Kitchee Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Ko C. W. (G) 20. Alonso C. 5. Cova A. 27. Gondra M. K. 32. Lam H. 15. Lau Kwan Ching 16. Leung C. (C) 19. Lorenzo N. 7. Naveed 9. Okubo Y. 65. Wong Fred Yang	13. Mehmud Enikar (G) 37. Chan Shing-Chun 8. Cheng Chin-Lung (C) 42. Cheung Y. 10. Kendy 2. Marcao 21. Obieta K. 9. Revilla A. 3. Riera R. 56. Sephrey Ma Lok 47. Yu Ching-Wai
Substitutes
88. Cheung M. H. 43. Contiero U. 11. Felipe Sa 33. Gao M. H. 77. Hung Hei Yin Ansley (G) 21. Lee C. 14. Loong T. 28. Siu C. 1. Yapp H. (G) 42. Yeung T.	5. Illarramendi A. 40. Li Siu-Hin 7. Mingazov R. 52. Poon W. K. 23. Shek T. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 1)
1', 0 - 1, Revilla A. ⚽,
4', Naveed 🟨,
11', Obieta K. 🟨,
19', Marcao ↓, Poon W. K. ↑,
25', Cova A. 🟨,
33', Riera R. 🟨,
38', Yu Ching-Wai 🟨,
44', 1 - 1, Gondra M. K. ⚽,
45+1', 2 - 1, Okubo Y. ⚽,
45+4', 3 - 1, Okubo Y. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Cheng Chin-Lung ↓, Illarramendi A. ↑,
46', Cheung Y. ↓, Mingazov R. ↑,
46', Naveed ↓, Felipe Sa ↑,
48', Alonso C. 🟨,
53', Felipe Sa 🟨,
66', Lorenzo N. ↓, Lee C. ↑,
66', Wong Fred Yang ↓, Loong T. ↑,
73', Loong T. 🟨,
90', 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Eastern AA won 0.

Recent results have been tough for Eastern AA (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Kitchee is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Kitchee could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Bookmakers give the edge to Kitchee for this game.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Eastern AA has recorded 3 wins, 6 draws, and 11 losses, with a goal aggregate of 15:34 (averaging 0.8:1.7 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Eastern AA against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses, with 6:10 goals (averaging 0.7:1.1 per game).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Eastern AA
Hong Kong Premier League
20.09.26	Hong Kong Rangers - Eastern AA	1:0 ✺
05.09.26	Eastern AA - Kowloon City	4:0 ✺
30.08.26	Wofoo Tai Po - Eastern AA	4:1 ✺
21.08.26	Eastern AA - Sha Tin	1:3 ✺
Club Friendly
05.08.26	Ratchaburi - Eastern AA	6:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 LWLLL
- Kitchee FC
AFC Champions League 2
17.09.26	Kitchee - Gangwon	0:0 ✺
Hong Kong Premier League
12.09.26	Southern District - Kitchee	1:3 ✺
06.09.26	Kitchee - Eastern District	4:1 ✺
29.08.26	North District - Kitchee	0:0 ✺
22.08.26	Hong Kong Rangers - Kitchee	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 TWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Hong Kong Premier League
17.05.26	Kitchee - Eastern AA	4:4
21.03.26	Kitchee - Eastern AA	2:1
29.08.25	Eastern AA - Kitchee	0:1
25.05.25	Eastern AA - Kitchee	1:1
Hong Kong Sapling Cup
22.03.25	Eastern AA - Kitchee	1:1
Hong Kong Premier League
02.02.25	Kitchee - Eastern AA	3:0
18.01.25	Eastern AA - Kitchee	1:1

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