Match Info

Premier League - Relegation Group - Round 5

Date: 16 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Siu Sai Wan Sports Ground (Hongkong)

Where to Watch on TV:


Hong-kong	on.cc


	Eastern District		Hong Kong Rangers

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.35	2.88
	2.16	3.34	2.92
	2.18	3.44	2.96	Watch
	2.2	3.2	2.9
	2.16	3.32	2.98
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 ↓ (2.22)	3.33 ↓ (3.58)	2.93 ↑ (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Eastern District
41.8%

Draw
27.2%

Hong Kong Rangers
31%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.4%

25.7%

32.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.5%

24.5%

31.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Eastern District has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Hong Kong Rangers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eastern District than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hong Kong Rangers than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Eastern District - Hong Kong Rangers Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Paulo Cesar (G) 15. Bruno Luiz 54. Chan Yin-Hei 5. Helio (C) 18. Kuach Yuel V. 12. Lam C. 9. Leo 47. Takatori S. 14. Yeung Cheuk-Kwan 72. Yoong K. 35. Yunho N.	70. Yip Ka-Yu (G) 45. Ansah M. 99. Cheng Tsz-Sum 29. Cortes M. 5. Hayashi R. (C) 3. Kim Min-Kyu 32. Li W. H. 35. Panigazzi M. 37. Tsang C. 16. Wegener M. 14. Yakubu Nassam I.
Substitutes
11. Chang H. M. 26. Chan Y. 10. Gu Bin 77. Ho K. 16. Kwok T. B. 21. Leung Y. 31. Li Y. (G) 61. Nicot S. 62. Pang H. 7. Pan Z. 44. Wong C. 3. Wong C. S.	13. Chan K. (G) 22. Chen H. 30. Chow W. 79. Chow Y. I. 44. Fung Kwun-Ming 27. Lam Lok-Yin J. 67. Lau Y. 18. Lau Y. A. 28. Wong M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
19', 0 - 1, Panigazzi M. ⚽,
21', Bruno Luiz 🟨,
31', 1 - 1, Leo ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
47', Yoong K. 🟨,
48', Lam C. 🟨,
50', Tsang C. ↓, Lam Lok-Yin J. ↑,
70', Yoong K. ↓, Gu Bin ↑,
70', Yeung Cheuk-Kwan ↓, Pan Z. ↑,
70', Lam C. ↓, Ho K. ↑,
70', Panigazzi M. 🟨,
76', Wegener M. ↓, Wong M. ↑,
90+1', Leo ↓, Wong C. ↑,
90+1', Cheng Tsz-Sum ↓, Lau Y. A. ↑,
90+1', Li W. H. ↓, Chow Y. I. ↑,

Preview

Both teams are struggling and far from their best.

Hong Kong Rangers may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Eastern District could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Eastern District won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:0. (average 2.5:0).

Including home match between the teams, Eastern District won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Eastern District	3	1	0	2	5:7	-2	3
9	Hong Kong Rangers	5	1	0	4	6:14	-8	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Eastern District SA
Hong Kong Premier League
09.05.26	Southern District - Eastern District	2:2 ✺
25.04.26	Eastern District - Hong Kong FC	1:2 ✺
19.04.26	Kowloon City - Eastern District	2:1 ✺
11.04.26	Eastern District - Wofoo Tai Po	1:3 ✺
03.04.26	Eastern District - Lee Man	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 TLLLT
- Hong Kong Rangers
Hong Kong Premier League
10.05.26	Hong Kong FC - Hong Kong Rangers	2:1 ✺
03.05.26	Hong Kong Rangers - Kowloon City	1:2 ✺
19.04.26	Hong Kong Rangers - Southern District	3:1 ✺
12.04.26	Kitchee - Hong Kong Rangers	2:0 ✺
04.04.26	Eastern AA - Hong Kong Rangers	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Hong Kong Premier League
31.01.26	Eastern District - Hong Kong Rangers	4:0
09.11.25	Hong Kong Rangers - Eastern District	0:1

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