Match Info

FA Cup - Semi-finals

Date: 24 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Mong Kok Stadium (Hongkong)

Where to Watch on TV:


Hong-kong	on.cc


	Eastern District		North District

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.55	1.95
	3.24	3.45	1.89
	4.37	4.40	1.58	Watch
	2.9	3.1	2.15
	3.31	3.56	1.93
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.38 ↑ (3.01)	3.61 ↓ (4.3)	1.9 ↓ (1.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Eastern District
26.9%

Draw
25.2%

North District
47.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.9%

21.6%

47.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.1%

21%

48.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Eastern District has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

North District has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eastern District than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for North District than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Eastern District - North District Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Paulo Cesar (G) 8. Andric A. 4. Bruno Bianconi 15. Bruno Luiz 5. Helio 18. Kuach Yuel V. 9. Leo 27. Li Ngai-Hoi 47. Takatori S. 72. Yoong K. 35. Yunho N.	63. Li H. D. (G) 22. Arboleda Y. 20. Kayke David 29. Khan J. 10. Law Hiu-Chung 5. Paez C. 70. Samuel Granada 32. Villalobos E. 11. Weverton Gudula 3. Wong Chun-Ho 15. Wong H.
Substitutes
11. Chang H. M. 26. Chan Y. 54. Chan Yin-Hei 10. Gu Bin 77. Ho K. 16. Kwok T. B. 12. Lam C. 21. Leung Y. 31. Li Y. (G) 44. Wong C. 3. Wong C. S. 14. Yeung Cheuk-Kwan	18. Dai T. M. 14. Ho C. J. 12. Li C. 9. Lo Kong-Wai 99. Ng C. (G) 2. Singh B. K. 23. Siu C. N. 6. Tsang C. 8. Vinicius Soares 7. Yuen Sai-Kit

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
18', Helio 🟨,
32', 1 - 0, Leo ⚽,
39', Bruno Luiz 🟨,
43', 1 - 1, Weverton Gudula ⚽,
45+2', 2 - 1, Bruno Luiz ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Wong Chun-Ho ↓, Singh B. K. ↑,
56', Bruno Luiz 🟨,
63', Law Hiu-Chung ↓, Lo Kong-Wai ↑,
63', Kayke David ↓, Vinicius Soares ↑,
70', 2 - 2, Samuel Granada (Penalty Awarded),
90+6', Yoong K. ↓, Kwok T. B. ↑,
Extra Time (0 - 0)
103', Singh B. K. 🟨,
105', Wong H. ↓, Yuen Sai-Kit ↑,
111', Andric A. ↓, Ho K. ↑,
118', Yoong K. ↓, Kwok T. B. ↑,
120', Khan J. ↓, Ho C. J. ↑,
Penalties (3 - 1)
1, Samuel Granada (Penalty Awarded),
1, (Penalty Awarded),
2, (Penalty Awarded),
2, Takatori S. (Penalty Awarded),
3, (Penalty Awarded),
3, Bruno Bianconi (Penalty Awarded),
4, (Penalty Awarded),
4, Kuach Yuel V. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

Both teams are struggling and far from their best.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Eastern District won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4. (average 1:2).

Including home match between the teams, Eastern District won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Eastern District SA
Hong Kong Premier League
16.05.26	Eastern District - Hong Kong Rangers	1:1 ✺
09.05.26	Southern District - Eastern District	2:2 ✺
25.04.26	Eastern District - Hong Kong FC	1:2 ✺
19.04.26	Kowloon City - Eastern District	2:1 ✺
11.04.26	Eastern District - Wofoo Tai Po	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 TTLLL
- North District FC
Hong Kong Premier League
10.05.26	North District - Lee Man	2:4 ✺
01.05.26	Eastern AA - North District	3:1 ✺
25.04.26	North District - Kitchee	2:2 ✺
18.04.26	Wofoo Tai Po - North District	3:2 ✺
12.04.26	North District - Lee Man	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Hong Kong Premier League
01.03.26	North District - Eastern District	2:2
24.01.26	Eastern District - North District	0:2

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