Match Info

AUSTRALIA: Victoria Premier League - Round 23

Date: 20 July 2024, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Eastern Lions		North Geelong Warriors

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.7	2.2
	2.8	3.87	2.11	Watch
	2.62	3.6	2.2
	2.71	3.64	2.21
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.66 ↓ (2.96)	3.7 ↓ (4)	2.18 ↑ (1.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Eastern Lions
34.1%

Draw
24.4%

North Geelong Warriors
41.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

30.5%

22.6%

46.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.1%

21.5%

49.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Eastern Lions has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

North Geelong Warriors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and North Geelong Warriors might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Eastern Lions than the current prediction. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for North Geelong Warriors than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that North Geelong Warriors could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Eastern Lions - North Geelong Warriors Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
2nd Half (2 - 0)

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 11 and 14 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Eastern Lions is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

North Geelong is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Eastern Lions won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Eastern Lions SC
Australian Victoria Premier League
13.07.24	Eastern Lions - Kingston City	0:2 ✺
06.07.24	Eastern Lions - Bentleigh Greens	3:2 ✺
28.06.24	Preston Lions - Eastern Lions	0:2 ✺
21.06.24	Northcote City - Eastern Lions	2:0 ✺
15.06.24	Eastern Lions - Western United U21	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 LWWLL
- North Geelong Warriors
Australian Victoria Premier League
13.07.24	North Geelong Warriors - Bentleigh Greens	2:3 ✺
06.07.24	Preston Lions - North Geelong Warriors	3:2 ✺
29.06.24	Northcote City - North Geelong Warriors	2:3 ✺
23.06.24	Western United U21 - North Geelong Warriors	2:2 ✺
15.06.24	North Geelong Warriors - Melbourne Victory Youth	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.5 LLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Australian Victoria Premier League
20.04.24	North Geelong Warriors - Eastern Lions	1:1

Eastern Lions - North Geelong Warriors