Match Info

AUSTRALIA: NPL QUEENSLAND - ROUND 15

Date: 24 June 2023, Saturday


	Eastern Suburbs		Moreton Bay United

	1	X	2
				Watch
	6.5	5	1.36
	4.4	5.25	1.4
	6.36	6.14	1.36
	6.5	4.6	1.35
	6.8	5.3	1.33	Watch
	5.8	5	1.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.06 ↑ (3.9)	5.22 ↑ (3.8)	1.36 ↓ (1.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Eastern Suburbs
15.1%

Draw
17.6%

Moreton Bay United
67.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.1%

23.8%

53.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.3%

22.6%

50.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Eastern Suburbs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Eastern Suburbs's form might have worsened.

Moreton Bay United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Moreton Bay United's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eastern Suburbs than the current prediction. (+9.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Eastern Suburbs, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Moreton Bay United than the current prediction. (-16.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Moreton Bay United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Eastern Suburbs - Moreton Bay United Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Eastern Suburbs will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Moreton Bay will win (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Eastern Suburbs: 45% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 12 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Queensland (Play Offs: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Eastern Suburbs won 0.

Eastern Suburbs has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Moreton Bay is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Moreton Bay is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Eastern Suburbs won 2 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 20-29.

Including matches at home between the teams Eastern Suburbs won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 12-13.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Eastern Suburbs
Australian NPL Queensland
17.06.23	Eastern Suburbs - Gold Coast United	0:3 ✺
11.06.23	Gold Coast Knights - Eastern Suburbs	5:1 ✺
03.06.23	Eastern Suburbs - Rochedale Rovers	1:6 ✺
19.05.23	Eastern Suburbs - Olympic FC	2:3 ✺
14.05.23	Queensland Lions - Eastern Suburbs	4:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 LLLLT
- Moreton Bay United
Australian NPL Queensland
17.06.23	Moreton Bay United - Gold Coast Knights	1:1 ✺
11.06.23	Rochedale Rovers - Moreton Bay United	2:1 ✺
02.06.23	Olympic FC - Moreton Bay United	0:5 ✺
20.05.23	Moreton Bay United - Queensland Lions	1:2 ✺
13.05.23	Peninsula Power - Moreton Bay United	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 TLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Australian NPL Queensland
18.03.23	Moreton Bay United - Eastern Suburbs	5:2
27.07.22	Eastern Suburbs - Moreton Bay United	2:2
11.06.22	Moreton Bay United - Eastern Suburbs	3:1
02.10.21	Moreton Bay United - Eastern Suburbs	5:2
20.04.21	Eastern Suburbs - Moreton Bay United	3:6
31.10.20	Eastern Suburbs - Moreton Bay United	2:1
01.09.20	Moreton Bay United - Eastern Suburbs	1:1

Eastern Suburbs - Moreton Bay United: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide