Match Info

AUSTRALIA: NPL QUEENSLAND - ROUND 10

Date: 13 May 2023, Saturday

Location: AJ Kelly Park (Brisbane)


	Peninsula Power		Moreton Bay United

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.65	3.6	2.25
	2.5	3.7	2.2
	2.67	3.95	2.29
	2.6	3.5	2.25
	2.64	3.72	2.28	Watch
	2.65	3.55	2.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.62 ↑ (2.25)	3.67 ↑ (3.6)	2.26 ↓ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Peninsula Power
34.8%

Draw
24.8%

Moreton Bay United
40.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.2%

25.1%

34.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.5%

25.9%

33.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Peninsula Power has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Peninsula Power's form might have worsened.

Moreton Bay United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Moreton Bay United's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peninsula Power than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Peninsula Power, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Moreton Bay United than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Moreton Bay United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Peninsula Power - Moreton Bay United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 10 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Queensland (Play Offs: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Peninsula Power won 4.

Recent matches Peninsula Power is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Moreton Bay is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Peninsula Power won 6 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 22-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Peninsula Power won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Peninsula Power
Australian NPL Queensland
06.05.23	Eastern Suburbs - Peninsula Power	0:1 ✺
29.04.23	Peninsula Power - Gold Coast Knights	1:4 ✺
22.04.23	Rochedale Rovers - Peninsula Power	2:3 ✺
09.04.23	Peninsula Power - Olympic FC	1:3 ✺
25.03.23	Queensland Lions - Peninsula Power	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WLWLL
- Moreton Bay United
Australian NPL Queensland
06.05.23	Moreton Bay United - Brisbane Roar Youth	3:1 ✺
30.04.23	Brisbane City - Moreton Bay United	2:2 ✺
22.04.23	Moreton Bay United - Sunshine Coast Wanderers	1:0 ✺
08.04.23	Redlands United - Moreton Bay United	0:2 ✺
25.03.23	Gold Coast United - Moreton Bay United	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Australian NPL Queensland
07.08.22	Moreton Bay United - Peninsula Power	1:2
07.05.22	Peninsula Power - Moreton Bay United	0:2
23.07.21	Moreton Bay United - Peninsula Power	1:6
10.04.21	Peninsula Power - Moreton Bay United	3:2
09.09.20	Peninsula Power - Moreton Bay United	4:3
15.08.20	Moreton Bay United - Peninsula Power	1:1
31.08.19	Moreton Bay United - Peninsula Power	1:3

Peninsula Power - Moreton Bay United: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide