Match Info

AUSTRALIA: NPL QUEENSLAND - ROUND 12

Date: 2 June 2023, Friday


	Olympic FC		Moreton Bay United

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.4	4	1.8
	3.1	4.25	1.75
	3.45	4.61	1.81
	3.6	3.7	1.78
	3.66	4.15	1.75	Watch
	3.45	4.1	1.77
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.44 ↑ (3.1)	4.14 ↑ (3.6)	1.78 ↓ (1.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Olympic FC
26.5%

Draw
22.1%

Moreton Bay United
51.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29%

25%

46.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.6%

23.8%

48.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Olympic FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Moreton Bay United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Moreton Bay United's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olympic FC than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Moreton Bay United than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
7.7%	0%	92.3%

Olympic FC - Moreton Bay United Predictions

Users Predictions: Moreton Bay United will win (12 of 13 users predict this - 92.31%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.83% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 12 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Queensland (Play Offs: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Olympic FC won 3.

Olympic FC is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Moreton Bay is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recently Olympic FC have a series of guest games.

In this match Moreton Bay is a favorite.

Last 18 head-to-head matches Olympic FC won 11 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 38-23.

Including matches at home between the teams Olympic FC won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 18-14.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Olympic FC Brisbane
Australian NPL Queensland
19.05.23	Eastern Suburbs - Olympic FC	2:3 ✺
14.05.23	Gold Coast Knights - Olympic FC	3:0 ✺
05.05.23	Rochedale Rovers - Olympic FC	2:1 ✺
30.04.23	Olympic FC - Gold Coast United	0:2 ✺
23.04.23	Queensland Lions - Olympic FC	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WLLLL
- Moreton Bay United
Australian NPL Queensland
20.05.23	Moreton Bay United - Queensland Lions	1:2 ✺
13.05.23	Peninsula Power - Moreton Bay United	2:1 ✺
06.05.23	Moreton Bay United - Brisbane Roar Youth	3:1 ✺
30.04.23	Brisbane City - Moreton Bay United	2:2 ✺
22.04.23	Moreton Bay United - Sunshine Coast Wanderers	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Australian NPL Queensland
25.02.23	Moreton Bay United - Olympic FC	2:1
20.07.22	Olympic FC - Moreton Bay United	5:2
02.04.22	Moreton Bay United - Olympic FC	2:3
11.07.21	Olympic FC - Moreton Bay United	1:1
21.03.21	Moreton Bay United - Olympic FC	1:4
07.10.20	Olympic FC - Moreton Bay United	4:1
08.03.20	Moreton Bay United - Olympic FC	0:4

Olympic FC - Moreton Bay United: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide