Match Info

Date: 25 October 2022, Tuesday 🏁 Finished


	Eastleigh		Torquay United

	1	X	2
	1.5	4	5
	1.52	3.9	5
	1.55	3.8	5.5
	1.52	4.1	5.4
	1.56	4.13	6.04
	1.57	3.6	5.25
	1.53	4.15	5.7
	1.53	4.1	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↓ (1.74)	3.97 ↑ (3.5)	5.41 ↑ (4.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Eastleigh
59.9%

Draw
23.1%

Torquay United
17%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

52.2%

25.9%

21.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54%

25%

21.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Eastleigh has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Eastleigh's performance.

Torquay United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Eastleigh than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Eastleigh that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Torquay United than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	6.2%	18.7%

Eastleigh - Torquay United Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Eastleigh will win (votes: 12 - 75%). Torquay will win (votes: 3 - 18.8%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 6.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Eastleigh: 53.8% – 96.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 13 and 24 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Eastleigh won 3.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Eastleigh could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Eastleigh have a series of guest games.

In this match Eastleigh is a favorite.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Eastleigh won 9 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 25-17.

Including matches at home between the teams Eastleigh won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 15-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Eastleigh FC
English National League
22.10.22	Solihull Moors - Eastleigh	3:0 ✺
English FA Cup
15.10.22	Dorking Wanderers - Eastleigh	1:3 ✺
English National League
08.10.22	Eastleigh - Chesterfield	2:1 ✺
04.10.22	Aldershot Town - Eastleigh	0:0 ✺
01.10.22	Gateshead - Eastleigh	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 LWWTT
- Torquay United
English National League
22.10.22	Torquay United - Altrincham	4:4 ✺
English FA Cup
18.10.22	Hampton & Richmond Borough - Torquay United	1:2 ✺
15.10.22	Torquay United - Hampton & Richmond Borough	2:2 ✺
English National League
08.10.22	York City - Torquay United	1:0 ✺
04.10.22	Torquay United - Maidenhead United	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 TWTLL

Latest Head to Head

English National League
18.04.22	Torquay United - Eastleigh	0:0
28.12.21	Eastleigh - Torquay United	2:1
01.05.21	Torquay United - Eastleigh	3:1
06.10.20	Eastleigh - Torquay United	2:1
26.11.19	Eastleigh - Torquay United	3:2
24.09.19	Torquay United - Eastleigh	2:3
13.01.18	Torquay United - Eastleigh	1:2

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Eastleigh FC
English National League
31.10.26	Barrow - Eastleigh	✺
English National League North
28.10.26	Forest Green Rovers - Eastleigh	✺
- Torquay United
English National League South
31.10.26	Walton & Hersham - Torquay United	✺

Eastleigh - Torquay United