Match Info

National League - Round 23

Date: 21 December 2025, Sunday

Location: Gateshead International Stadium (Gateshead)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Gateshead		Eastleigh

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.4	2.5
	2.52	3.55	2.45
	2.58	3.55	2.52
	2.45	3.7	2.55	Watch
	2.5	3.3	2.4
	2.61	3.48	2.51
	2.54	3.6	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.54 ↓ (2.67)	3.51 ↑ (3.37)	2.49 ↑ (2.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gateshead
36.5%

Draw
26.4%

Eastleigh
37.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.3%

27.2%

38.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.9%

25.3%

35.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gateshead has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Eastleigh has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gateshead than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Eastleigh than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	12.5%	50%

Gateshead - Eastleigh Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Gateshead will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Eastleigh will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Eastleigh: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Gateshead (votes: 1 - 50%). Eastleigh (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5, 1st Half - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Brooks T. (G) 4. Elliott-Wheeler A. 5. Richardson K. (C) 31. Williams B. 3. Ferguson D. 20. John F. 17. Home J. 7. Adom K. 34. Melbourne M. 14. Nouble F. 27. Pennant K.	1. Townsend N. (G) 2. Brindley R. 4. Humphries L. 6. Eweka T. 27. Harris A. 16. Pierre A. 17. Lundstram J. 14. Waite J. 7. Evans K. 15. Saunders H. 11. Blair A.
Substitutes
15. Bakare I. 32. Chapman H. 22. Edwards C. 21. Hurst K. 13. Leech P. (G) 11. Newton T. 9. Telford D.	21. Davis S. 5. Fernandez L. 9. McCallum P. 22. McNamara J. (G) 20. Pearson S. 18. Wariuh A. 33. Whitehead T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
13', 0 - 1, Saunders H. ⚽, Lundstram J. (A),
17', John F. 🟨,
23', 0 - 2, Blair A. ⚽, Lundstram J. (A),
30', Eweka T. 🟨,
31', 1 - 2, Nouble F. ⚽,
39', Waite J. 🟨,
44', Elliott-Wheeler A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
47', Richardson K. 🟨,
51', Williams B. ↓, Bakare I. ↑,
53', John F. 🟨,
55', Melbourne M. ↓, Edwards C. ↑,
73', Home J. ↓, Newton T. ↑,
73', Adom K. ↓, Hurst K. ↑,
73', Pennant K. ↓, Chapman H. ↑,
87', Blair A. ↓, Pearson S. ↑,
88', Saunders H. ↓, McCallum P. ↑,
90', 1 - 3, McCallum P. ⚽,
90', Waite J. ↓, Wariuh A. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation and 17).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gateshead won 3.

Gateshead is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Eastleigh is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Eastleigh may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Gateshead has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Gateshead won 8 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 35:24. (average 1.8:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Gateshead won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:10. (average 1.5:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gateshead
English FA Trophy
13.12.25	Gateshead - Morecambe	0:3 ✺
English FA Cup
07.12.25	Gateshead - Walsall	0:2 ✺
English National League
29.11.25	Sutton United - Gateshead	4:2 ✺
English National League Cup
26.11.25	Gateshead - Leeds United U21	0:3 ✺
English National League
22.11.25	Gateshead - Boreham Wood	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Eastleigh FC
English FA Trophy
13.12.25	Eastleigh - Aldershot Town	2:1 ✺
English National League
29.11.25	Rochdale - Eastleigh	2:0 ✺
22.11.25	Eastleigh - Hartlepool United	0:2 ✺
15.11.25	Carlisle United - Eastleigh	1:1 ✺
08.11.25	Eastleigh - York City	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WLLTL

Latest Head to Head

English National League
16.08.25	Eastleigh - Gateshead	0:2
25.02.25	Eastleigh - Gateshead	1:1
31.08.24	Gateshead - Eastleigh	2:1
06.02.24	Gateshead - Eastleigh	1:1
09.09.23	Eastleigh - Gateshead	0:6
12.04.23	Eastleigh - Gateshead	2:5
01.10.22	Gateshead - Eastleigh	1:1

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