Match Info

FA Cup - Qualification - Quarter-finals

Date: 13 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Stonebridge Road Stadium (Northfleet)


	Ebbsfleet United		Ashford Town

	1	X	2
	1.22	5.5	8
	1.18	6.5	10.5
	1.15	7.91	9.13
	1.46	3.62	8.22	Watch
	1.21	5.9	11.5	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.24 ↓ (1.31)	5.89 ↑ (5.6)	9.47 ↑ (6.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ebbsfleet United
74.5%

Draw
15.7%

Ashford Town
9.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.9%

16.3%

13.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ebbsfleet United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

Ashford Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Ebbsfleet United - Ashford Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
2nd Half (4 - 0)

Preview

Replayed if draw.

Ebbsfleet is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Ashford may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Ebbsfleet is the undisputed favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ebbsfleet United
English National League South
06.09.25	Ebbsfleet United - Hornchurch	1:1 ✺
02.09.25	Hemel Hempstead Town - Ebbsfleet United	0:0 ✺
30.08.25	Hampton & Richmond Borough - Ebbsfleet United	3:2 ✺
25.08.25	Ebbsfleet United - Bath City	1:1 ✺
23.08.25	Slough Town - Ebbsfleet United	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 TTLTL
- Ashford Town
Club Friendly
20.07.24	Whitehawk - Ashford Town	4:1 ✺
13.07.24	Ashford Town - Hampton & Richmond Borough	5:2 ✺
11.07.23	Walton & Hersham - Ashford Town	5:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
15.10.19	Canvey Island - Ashford Town	5:0
27.10.18	Ashford Town - Lewes	1:2
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 LWLLL

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