Match Info

National League South - Round 8

Date: 6 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Stonebridge Road Stadium (Northfleet)


	Ebbsfleet United		Hornchurch

	1	X	2
	2	3.3	3.1
	2.05	3.55	3.05
	2.06	3.7	3.21
	2.14	3.57	3.05	Watch
	2.06	3.82	3.1
	2.27	3.21	2.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↓ (2.78)	3.53 ↑ (3.5)	3.01 ↑ (2.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ebbsfleet United
43.7%

Draw
26%

Hornchurch
30.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.3%

26.4%

40.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.8%

25.2%

42.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ebbsfleet United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ebbsfleet United's performance.

Hornchurch has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hornchurch might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ebbsfleet United than the current prediction. (-11.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ebbsfleet United that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hornchurch than the current prediction. (+11.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hornchurch could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Ebbsfleet United - Hornchurch Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Hornchurch (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Ebbsfleet (1.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Ebbsfleet (votes: 1 - 50%). Hornchurch (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
28', 1 - 0, Coley J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
61', 1 - 1, Gibbs H. ⚽,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 8 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ National League).

Ebbsfleet has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Hornchurch is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Ebbsfleet might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Ebbsfleet won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ebbsfleet United
English National League South
02.09.25	Hemel Hempstead Town - Ebbsfleet United	0:0 ✺
30.08.25	Hampton & Richmond Borough - Ebbsfleet United	3:2 ✺
25.08.25	Ebbsfleet United - Bath City	1:1 ✺
23.08.25	Slough Town - Ebbsfleet United	2:0 ✺
19.08.25	Ebbsfleet United - Chelmsford City	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 TLTLW
- AFC Hornchurch
English National League South
02.09.25	Hornchurch - Dorking Wanderers	1:0 ✺
30.08.25	Hornchurch - Chippenham Town	3:0 ✺
25.08.25	Salisbury - Hornchurch	3:3 ✺
23.08.25	Hornchurch - Farnborough	3:1 ✺
19.08.25	Enfield Town - Hornchurch	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
01.09.20	Hornchurch - Ebbsfleet United	0:0

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