Match Info

National League South - Round 7

Date: 2 September 2025, Tuesday


	Hemel Hempstead Town		Ebbsfleet United

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.25	2.25
	2.62	3.35	2.45
	2.61	3.35	2.61
	2.71	2.86	2.81	Watch
	2.8	3.3	2.38
	2.61	3.32	2.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.68 ↑ (2.67)	3.24 ↓ (3.52)	2.5 ↑ (2.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hemel Hempstead Town
34.5%

Draw
28.5%

Ebbsfleet United
37%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.4%

26.1%

39.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.7%

25.1%

38.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hemel Hempstead Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Ebbsfleet United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hemel Hempstead Town than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ebbsfleet United than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	11.1%	22.2%

Hemel Hempstead Town - Ebbsfleet United Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Hemel Hempstead will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Ebbsfleet will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hemel Hempstead: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Hemel Hempstead (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hemel Hempstead won 0.

Hemel Hempstead is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Ebbsfleet has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Hemel Hempstead won 0 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:22. (average 1:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Hemel Hempstead won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:9. (average 1:1.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Hemel Hempstead Town - the odds 2.67 are the expected chance of winning is 34.37%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hemel Hempstead Town
English National League South
30.08.25	Hemel Hempstead Town - Torquay United	2:1 ✺
25.08.25	Dagenham & Redbridge - Hemel Hempstead Town	2:1 ✺
23.08.25	Hemel Hempstead Town - Dorking Wanderers	2:0 ✺
19.08.25	Maidenhead United - Hemel Hempstead Town	2:2 ✺
16.08.25	Slough Town - Hemel Hempstead Town	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.2 WLWTW
- Ebbsfleet United
English National League South
30.08.25	Hampton & Richmond Borough - Ebbsfleet United	3:2 ✺
25.08.25	Ebbsfleet United - Bath City	1:1 ✺
23.08.25	Slough Town - Ebbsfleet United	2:0 ✺
19.08.25	Ebbsfleet United - Chelmsford City	1:0 ✺
16.08.25	Ebbsfleet United - Chippenham Town	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LTLWW

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
04.03.23	Ebbsfleet United - Hemel Hempstead Town	0:0
29.10.22	Hemel Hempstead Town - Ebbsfleet United	1:1
08.01.22	Hemel Hempstead Town - Ebbsfleet United	1:3
28.08.21	Ebbsfleet United - Hemel Hempstead Town	3:1
Club Friendly
20.07.19	Hemel Hempstead Town - Ebbsfleet United	1:1
English National League South
21.02.17	Hemel Hempstead Town - Ebbsfleet United	1:1
20.08.16	Ebbsfleet United - Hemel Hempstead Town	2:2

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