Match Info

National League South - Round 16

Date: 4 November 2025, Tuesday

Location: Stonebridge Road Stadium (Northfleet)


	Ebbsfleet United		Maidstone United

	1	X	2
	2.42	3.15	2.78
	2.6	3.15	2.83
	2.31	3.42	2.83	Watch
	2.39	3.13	2.7
	2.46	3.1	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.44 ↑ (2.31)	3.19 ↓ (3.42)	2.77 ↓ (2.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ebbsfleet United
37.8%

Draw
28.9%

Maidstone United
33.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.1%

27.1%

32.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.4%

28%

31.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ebbsfleet United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Maidstone United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ebbsfleet United than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maidstone United than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Ebbsfleet United - Maidstone United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
59', 1 - 0, Nelson R. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 12 and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ebbsfleet won 1.

In recent matches, Ebbsfleet has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Maidstone is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Ebbsfleet won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 13:16. (average 1.2:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Ebbsfleet won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:8. (average 1.2:1.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Ebbsfleet United - the odds 2.31 are the expected chance of winning is 40.13%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Maidstone United - the odds 2.83 are the expected chance of winning is 32.76%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ebbsfleet United
English FA Cup
01.11.25	Grimsby Town - Ebbsfleet United	3:1 ✺
English National League South
25.10.25	Ebbsfleet United - Salisbury	2:0 ✺
21.10.25	Enfield Town - Ebbsfleet United	3:1 ✺
18.10.25	Ebbsfleet United - Dorking Wanderers	2:1 ✺
English FA Cup
11.10.25	Ebbsfleet United - Solihull Moors	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 LWLWW
- Maidstone United
English National League South
01.11.25	Maidstone United - Tonbridge Angels	1:2 ✺
25.10.25	Slough Town - Maidstone United	1:4 ✺
21.10.25	Maidstone United - Eastbourne Borough	3:0 ✺
18.10.25	Farnborough - Maidstone United	0:2 ✺
11.10.25	Maidstone United - Chesham United	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LWWWT

Latest Head to Head

English FA Cup
12.10.24	Maidstone United - Ebbsfleet United	3:0
English National League South
25.01.22	Maidstone United - Ebbsfleet United	4:0
23.11.21	Ebbsfleet United - Maidstone United	2:3
17.11.20	Ebbsfleet United - Maidstone United	0:0
English National League
23.03.19	Maidstone United - Ebbsfleet United	0:2
30.10.18	Ebbsfleet United - Maidstone United	1:1
09.01.18	Maidstone United - Ebbsfleet United	1:2

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