Match Info

FA Cup - 1/128-finals

Date: 1 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Blundell Park (Cleethorpes)


	Grimsby Town		Ebbsfleet United

	1	X	2
	1.33	5	7.5
	1.35	5.4	7.9
	1.45	4.20	6.85	Watch
	1.36	4.99	7.48	Watch
	1.36	4.75	7.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↑ (1.3)	4.87 ↑ (4.75)	7.45 ↓ (7.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Grimsby Town
68.2%

Draw
19.2%

Ebbsfleet United
12.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.1%

18.9%

12%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.3%

18.1%

12.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Grimsby Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Ebbsfleet United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grimsby Town than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ebbsfleet United than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Grimsby Town - Ebbsfleet United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Pym C. (G) 5. Rodgers H. 6. Lavelle S. 17. McJannet C. 3. Sweeney J. 15. Turi G. D. 11. Svanthorsson J. 8. Khouri E. 7. Walker J. 30. Vernam C. 32. Rose D. (C)	13. Bellagambi G. (G) 24. Olagunju M. 20. Manktelow M. 12. Nelson R. 2. Seaman C. 18. Kenedy 4. Hessenthaler J. 3. Coker B. 21. Coley J. 22. Chapman B. 9. Cosgrave A.
Substitutes
14. Amaluzor J. 18. Burns D. 33. Casper C. (G) 4. Green K. 9. Kabia J. 20. McEachran G. 29. Oduor C. 10. Soonsup-Bell J. 21. Warren T.	35. Anthony E. 10. Appiah K. 19. Barnes F. 1. Cousins M. (G) 16. Domi F. 7. Passley J. 17. Peake L. 14. Samuel D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
10', Sweeney J. ↓, Oduor C. ↑,
34', 0 - 1, Seaman C. ⚽,
41', Cosgrave A. 🟨,
45', Coker B. 🟨,
45+1', Chapman B. 🟥,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Walker J. ↓, Kabia J. ↑,
53', 1 - 1, Rose D. ⚽, Vernam C. (A),
54', Kennedy G. 🟨,
55', 2 - 1, McJannet C. ⚽,
65', Cosgrave A. ↓, Samuel D. ↑,
65', Seaman C. ↓, Passley J. ↑,
67', 3 - 1, Rose D. ⚽, Turi G. D. (A),
73', Hessenthaler J. ↓, Domi F. ↑,
78', Vernam C. ↓, Amaluzor J. ↑,
78', Rose D. ↓, Soonsup-Bell J. ↑,
78', Rodgers H. ↓, Warren T. ↑,
82', Coker B. ↓, Peake L. ↑,
82', Coley J. ↓, Barnes F. ↑,
90', Barnes F. 🟨,
90+2', Warren T. 🟨,

Preview

Recent form of Grimsby has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Ebbsfleet is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Grimsby may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.

In this match, Grimsby is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Grimsby won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).

Including home match between the teams, Grimsby won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Grimsby Town
English League Cup
28.10.25	Grimsby Town - Brentford	0:5 ✺
English League Two
25.10.25	Crewe Alexandra - Grimsby Town	3:2 ✺
18.10.25	Grimsby Town - Gillingham	1:0 ✺
11.10.25	Grimsby Town - Colchester United	1:2 ✺
English EFL Trophy
07.10.25	Grimsby Town - Doncaster Rovers	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 LLWLL
- Ebbsfleet United
English National League South
25.10.25	Ebbsfleet United - Salisbury	2:0 ✺
21.10.25	Enfield Town - Ebbsfleet United	3:1 ✺
18.10.25	Ebbsfleet United - Dorking Wanderers	2:1 ✺
English FA Cup
11.10.25	Ebbsfleet United - Solihull Moors	2:0 ✺
English National League South
04.10.25	Ebbsfleet United - Eastbourne Borough	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 WLWWT

Latest Head to Head

English National League
26.02.13	Grimsby Town - Ebbsfleet United	3:1
01.12.12	Ebbsfleet United - Grimsby Town	1:1

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