Match Info

FA Cup - Qualification - Final

Date: 11 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Stonebridge Road Stadium (Northfleet)


	Ebbsfleet United		Solihull Moors

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.25	2.55
	2.25	3.45	2.82
	2.47	3.5	2.62
	2.38	2.96	3.16	Watch
	2.31	3.45	2.8	Watch
	3.25	3.4	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.51 ↓ (3.8)	3.34 ↓ (3.57)	2.67 ↑ (1.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ebbsfleet United
37.1%

Draw
27.9%

Solihull Moors
34.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.1%

25.7%

50.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.2%

24.8%

52.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ebbsfleet United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ebbsfleet United's performance.

Solihull Moors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Solihull Moors might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ebbsfleet United than the current prediction. (-13.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ebbsfleet United that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Solihull Moors than the current prediction. (+17.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Solihull Moors could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Ebbsfleet United - Solihull Moors Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
42', 1 - 0, Fielding J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
68', 2 - 0, Peake L. ⚽,

Preview

Replayed if draw.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ebbsfleet won 0.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Ebbsfleet may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Ebbsfleet won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 8:19. (average 0.9:2.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Ebbsfleet won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:9. (average 0.5:2.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Ebbsfleet United - the odds 3.8 are the expected chance of winning is 24.1%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ebbsfleet United
English National League South
04.10.25	Ebbsfleet United - Eastbourne Borough	2:2 ✺
20.09.25	Torquay United - Ebbsfleet United	1:0 ✺
English FA Cup
13.09.25	Ebbsfleet United - Ashford Town	5:0 ✺
English National League South
06.09.25	Ebbsfleet United - Hornchurch	1:1 ✺
02.09.25	Hemel Hempstead Town - Ebbsfleet United	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 TLWTT
- Solihull Moors
English National League
04.10.25	Eastleigh - Solihull Moors	1:1 ✺
30.09.25	Solihull Moors - Woking	0:3 ✺
27.09.25	Solihull Moors - Brackley Town	1:0 ✺
23.09.25	Rochdale - Solihull Moors	4:1 ✺
20.09.25	York City - Solihull Moors	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.4 TLWLW

Latest Head to Head

English National League
08.03.25	Solihull Moors - Ebbsfleet United	2:1
16.11.24	Ebbsfleet United - Solihull Moors	0:6
09.04.24	Solihull Moors - Ebbsfleet United	3:0
12.08.23	Ebbsfleet United - Solihull Moors	1:2
17.08.19	Solihull Moors - Ebbsfleet United	2:1
09.02.19	Ebbsfleet United - Solihull Moors	0:1
13.10.18	Solihull Moors - Ebbsfleet United	2:1

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