Match Info

ENGLAND: National League - Round 12

Date: 28 September 2024, Saturday

Location: Stonebridge Road Stadium (Northfleet)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	DAZN 1 UK, National League TV


	Ebbsfleet United		Oldham Athletic

	1	X	2
	4	3.4	1.83	Watch
	3.6	3.4	1.8
	4	3.6	1.85
	4.18	3.68	1.84
	3.95	3.57	1.88	Watch
	3.8	3.5	1.8
	3.94	3.58	1.82	Watch
	4	3.6	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.93 ↑ (3.88)	3.54 ↓ (3.58)	1.83 ↓ (1.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ebbsfleet United
23.5%

Draw
26.1%

Oldham Athletic
50.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24%

25.9%

50.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.2%

25%

51.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ebbsfleet United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Oldham Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ebbsfleet United than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oldham Athletic than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Ebbsfleet United - Oldham Athletic Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Cousins M. (G) 22. Chapman B. 26. Dallison T. 16. Domi F. 10. Fonguck W. 6. John L. 7. Lawson S. 24. Olagunju M. 3. Page L. 14. Poleon D. 4. Wright J.	1. Hudson M. (G) 20. Caprice J. 10. Conlon T. 9. Fondop-Talum M. 14. Garner J. 5. Hobson S. 33. Khan O. 3. Kitching M. 8. Lundstram J. 6. Monthe M. 2. Ogle R.
Substitutes
30. Berry D. (G) 15. Cundle G. 18. Ondo C. 20. Phillips G. 11. Randall W. 19. Tanga J. 27. Tanner C.	18. Dolan C. 19. Gardner D. 27. Hammond O. 35. Moloney S. (G) 30. Norwood J. 21. Stretton J. 17. Uchegbulam J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
32', Page L. ↓, Cundle G. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Lawson S. ↓, Tanner C. ↑,
48', 0 - 1, Kitching M. ⚽, Fondop-Talum M. (A),
56', Fonguck W. ↓, Tanga J. ↑,
68', Garner J. ↓, Norwood J. ↑,
69', Olagunju M. ↓, Randall W. ↑,
77', Caprice J. ↓, Uchegbulam J. ↑,
81', 1 - 1, Poleon D. (Pen),
84', Fondop-Talum M. ↓, Gardner D. ↑,
85', 1 - 2, Khan O. ⚽, Uchegbulam J. (A),
90+2', Hudson M. 🟨,
90+4', Uchegbulam J. 🟨,

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Ebbsfleet is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Oldham is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Oldham is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Ebbsfleet won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Ebbsfleet won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ebbsfleet United
English National League
24.09.24	Maidenhead United - Ebbsfleet United	2:1 ✺
21.09.24	Sutton United - Ebbsfleet United	3:2 ✺
14.09.24	Ebbsfleet United - Hartlepool United	1:0 ✺
10.09.24	Ebbsfleet United - Aldershot Town	0:0 ✺
07.09.24	Altrincham - Ebbsfleet United	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LLWTL
- Oldham Athletic
English National League
24.09.24	Oldham Athletic - Forest Green Rovers	1:0 ✺
21.09.24	Oldham Athletic - Yeovil Town	1:0 ✺
14.09.24	Woking - Oldham Athletic	1:3 ✺
10.09.24	Halifax Town - Oldham Athletic	1:1 ✺
07.09.24	Oldham Athletic - Southend United	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WWWTT

Latest Head to Head

English National League
03.02.24	Ebbsfleet United - Oldham Athletic	0:0
25.11.23	Oldham Athletic - Ebbsfleet United	1:4

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