Match Info

National League South - Round 11

Date: 10 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Weston-super-Mare		Folkestone Invicta

	1	X	2
	1.80	3.50	3.60
	1.86	3.35	3.55
	1.85	3.70	4.03
	2.03	3.58	3.37	Watch
	1.81	3.65	3.95
	1.82	3.74	3.95
	1.79	3.60	3.80
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↓ (1.88)	3.59 ↓ (3.62)	3.75 ↑ (3.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Weston-super-Mare
49.8%

Draw
25.7%

Folkestone Invicta
24.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

49.4%

25.7%

24.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.5%

25.1%

24.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Weston-super-Mare has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Folkestone Invicta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Weston-super-Mare than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Folkestone Invicta than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Weston super Mare - Folkestone Invicta Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
7', 0 - 1, Kelman B. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
58', 1 - 1, Coulson L. ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between a top-table contender and a mid-table team (ranked 6th in the Promotion - National League South Playoffs - Quarter - finals and 15th).

Weston-super-Mare has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Folkestone is on a prolonged losing streak (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Weston-super-Mare could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Weston-super-Mare is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

These two teams have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Folkestone	14	5	4	5	20:16	4	19
14	Weston-super-Mare	12	5	3	4	20:17	3	18

Outrights of English National League South for now

Folkestone: 2.2% Weston-super-Mare: 1.82%

Last Results with these Odds

Folkestone Invicta - the odds 3.73 are the expected chance of winning is 24.91%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Weston-super-Mare
English National League South
26.09.26	Farnham Town - Weston-super-Mare	3:2 ✺
English FA Cup
19.09.26	Weston-super-Mare - Wimborne Town	1:1 ✺
English National League South
12.09.26	Weston-super-Mare - Dagenham & Redbridge	1:0 ✺
08.09.26	Weston-super-Mare - Totton	3:1 ✺
05.09.26	Maidstone United - Weston-super-Mare	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LTWWL
- Folkestone Invicta
English National League South
06.10.26	Ebbsfleet United - Folkestone Invicta	1:0 ✺
26.09.26	Salisbury - Folkestone Invicta	2:0 ✺
12.09.26	Folkestone Invicta - Farnham Town	1:2 ✺
08.09.26	Folkestone Invicta - Horsham	1:1 ✺
05.09.26	Torquay United - Folkestone Invicta	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLTL

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