Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 3 - ROUND 23

Date: 26 February 2023, Sunday


	Ebro		Hércules

	1	X	2
	3.3	2.7	2.2
	3.85	2.8	2.07
	3.52	2.73	2.34
	3.68	2.72	2.24
	3.45	2.75	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.56 ↑ (2.88)	2.74 ↑ (2.7)	2.22 ↓ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ebro
25.6%

Draw
33.3%

Hércules
41.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.5%

33.6%

34.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.1%

34%

35.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ebro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ebro's form might have worsened.

Hércules has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Hércules's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ebro than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ebro, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hércules than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hércules, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	33.3%	33.3%

Ebro - Hércules Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Ebro will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Hércules will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 8).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ebro won 2.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Hércules could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Hércules will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Ebro won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Ebro won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Ebro
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
19.02.23	Alzira - Ebro	3:1 ✺
12.02.23	Ebro - Zaragoza B	1:0
05.02.23	Olot - Ebro	0:0 ✺
29.01.23	Ebro - Lleida	1:0 ✺
22.01.23	Terrassa - Ebro	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.2 LWTWL
- Hércules CF
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
19.02.23	Hércules - Teruel	0:2 ✺
11.02.23	Espanyol B - Hércules	1:0 ✺
05.02.23	Hércules - Prat	1:0 ✺
29.01.23	Badalona Futur - Hércules	0:1 ✺
22.01.23	Hércules - Mallorca B	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
08.10.22	Hércules - Ebro	0:0
Spanish Copa Federacion
06.10.21	Ebro - Hércules	1:0
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
08.03.20	Ebro - Hércules	0:0
20.10.19	Hércules - Ebro	3:0
03.02.19	Hércules - Ebro	2:3
16.09.18	Ebro - Hércules	0:1
11.02.18	Hércules - Ebro	0:0

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