Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 3 - ROUND 19

Date: 29 January 2023, Sunday


	Ebro		Lleida

	1	X	2
	2.7	2.75	2.55
	2.9	2.65	2.65
	2.8	2.75	2.55
	2.93	2.74	2.74
	3	2.66	2.66
	2.8	2.8	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.86 ↓ (3.48)	2.73 ↑ (2.7)	2.63 ↑ (2.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ebro
31.9%

Draw
33.4%

Lleida
34.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.2%

33.7%

40.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29%

30.4%

36.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ebro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ebro's performance.

Lleida has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lleida might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ebro than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lleida than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Ebro - Lleida Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 12).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ebro won 2.

Ebro is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Lleida is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Ebro won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 10-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Ebro won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Ebro
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
22.01.23	Terrassa - Ebro	1:0 ✺
15.01.23	Manresa - Ebro	2:1 ✺
08.01.23	Ebro - Formentera	0:0 ✺
18.12.22	Peña Deportiva - Ebro	1:1 ✺
11.12.22	Ebro - Valencia B	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 LLTTL
- Lleida
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
22.01.23	Lleida - Teruel	0:0 ✺
15.01.23	Lleida - Espanyol B	1:1 ✺
08.01.23	Prat - Lleida	1:2 ✺
18.12.22	Lleida - Badalona Futur	1:2 ✺
11.12.22	Mallorca B - Lleida	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 TTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
11.09.22	Lleida - Ebro	1:0
13.03.22	Lleida - Ebro	1:2
Spanish Copa Federacion
27.10.21	Ebro - Lleida	1:0 penalties
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
23.10.21	Ebro - Lleida	1:2
08.12.19	Lleida - Ebro	0:0
27.01.19	Ebro - Lleida	0:0
Spanish Copa del Rey
17.10.18	Ebro - Lleida	2:1

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