Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 2 - Round 19

Date: 18 January 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Aragon TV


	Ebro		Náxara

	1	X	2
	1.72	3.2	4.65
	1.69	3.43	4.92	Watch
	1.7	3.1	4.8
	1.67	3.32	5.03
	1.75	3.25	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↑ (1.66)	3.26 ↓ (3.38)	4.83 ↓ (4.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ebro
53.3%

Draw
27.9%

Náxara
18.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.8%

26.8%

18.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.1%

26.7%

18.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ebro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Náxara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ebro than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Náxara than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Ebro - Náxara Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Ebro (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
2', 1 - 0, Escolar Sergio ⚽,
17', 2 - 0, Munoz A. ⚽,
45+2', 3 - 0, Paki ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
56', 4 - 0, Escolar Sergio ⚽,
61', 4 - 1, Martinez H. (Penalty Awarded),
73', Garcia J. 🟥,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 and 14 in the zone Relegation).

Ebro is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Náxara has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Ebro is a strong favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Ebro won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Ebro	5	3	1	1	7:4	3	10
17	Naxara	4	0	1	3	1:8	-7	1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Ebro
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
11.01.26	Amorebieta - Ebro	1:2 ✺
04.01.26	Ebro - Tudelano	2:2 ✺
21.12.25	Alfaro - Ebro	0:4 ✺
14.12.25	Ebro - Utebo	3:1 ✺
06.12.25	SD Logroñés - Ebro	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.4 WTWWL
- Náxara CD
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
11.01.26	Náxara - Mutilvera	0:1 ✺
04.01.26	Beasain - Náxara	0:1 ✺
21.12.25	Náxara - Real Unión de Irun	1:3 ✺
14.12.25	Alavés B - Náxara	1:2 ✺
06.12.25	Náxara - Ejea	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.9 LWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
07.09.25	Náxara - Ebro	1:1

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