Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 2 - Round 18

Date: 11 January 2026, Sunday

Location: Campo Municipal de Urritxe (Amorebieta-Etxano)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub


	Amorebieta		Ebro

	1	X	2
	2.05	2.88	3.65
	2.05	2.83	4.06	Watch
	2	2.88	3.75
	2.04	3.13	3.86
	2.05	2.8	4.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↓ (2.11)	2.9 ↑ (2.89)	3.91 ↑ (3.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Amorebieta
45%

Draw
31.6%

Ebro
23.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.9%

31.3%

25.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.7%

30.7%

25.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Amorebieta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Ebro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Amorebieta than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ebro than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Amorebieta - Ebro Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
29', Entreca J. 🟥,
35', 1 - 0, Sanchez A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
64', 1 - 1, Soeiro K. ⚽,
71', 1 - 2, Charlez V. ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 8 and 12).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Amorebieta will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Amorebieta won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:1. (average 0.7:0.3).

Including home match between the teams, Amorebieta won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Ebro	5	3	1	1	7:4	3	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Amorebieta
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
04.01.26	Sestao - Amorebieta	1:2 ✺
20.12.25	Amorebieta - Mutilvera	0:1 ✺
13.12.25	Eibar B - Amorebieta	0:2 ✺
05.12.25	Amorebieta - Tudelano	0:0 ✺
30.11.25	Ejea - Amorebieta	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 WLWTL
- CD Ebro
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
04.01.26	Ebro - Tudelano	2:2 ✺
21.12.25	Alfaro - Ebro	0:4 ✺
14.12.25	Ebro - Utebo	3:1 ✺
06.12.25	SD Logroñés - Ebro	2:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
02.12.25	Ebro - Osasuna	3:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 TWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
14.09.25	Ebro - Amorebieta	0:0
30.01.16	Amorebieta - Ebro	0:1
13.09.15	Ebro - Amorebieta	0:2

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