Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 2 - Round 6

Date: 11 October 2025, Saturday


	Ebro		Real Unión de Irun

	1	X	2
	2.82	3	2.35
	2.98	3.04	2.46
	3.49	3.01	2.16	Watch
	2.91	3.04	2.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.05 ↓ (3.09)	3.02 ↓ (3.1)	2.36 ↑ (2.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ebro
30.3%

Draw
30.6%

Real Unión de Irun
39.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.5%

29.4%

41.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.3%

28.2%

42.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ebro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Real Unión de Irun has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ebro than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Unión de Irun than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Ebro - Real Unión de Irun Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
90+2', Escolar Sergio 🟥,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 11 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

Ebro has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Real Unión is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ebro won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:8. (average 1.2:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Ebro won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 1.7:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Real Unión de Irun - the odds 2.22 are the expected chance of winning is 41.06%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Ebro
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
04.10.25	Beasain - Ebro	1:1 ✺
27.09.25	Ebro - Ejea	3:1 ✺
21.09.25	UD Logroñés - Ebro	1:0 ✺
14.09.25	Ebro - Amorebieta	0:0 ✺
07.09.25	Náxara - Ebro	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 TWLTT
- Real Unión de Irun
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
04.10.25	Real Unión de Irun - UD Logroñés	1:1 ✺
27.09.25	Beasain - Real Unión de Irun	1:1 ✺
20.09.25	Real Unión de Irun - Mutilvera	3:1 ✺
14.09.25	Real Unión de Irun - Tudelano	0:0 ✺
07.09.25	Amorebieta - Real Unión de Irun	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 TTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
16.05.21	Ebro - Real Unión de Irun	1:0
18.04.21	Real Unión de Irun - Ebro	3:0
24.01.16	Ebro - Real Unión de Irun	1:1
05.09.15	Real Unión de Irun - Ebro	2:1
Spanish Copa del Rey
02.09.15	Ebro - Real Unión de Irun	3:2 penalties

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