Match Info
Segunda RFEF - Group 2 - Round 27Date: 14 March 2026, Saturday
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Ebro |
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Sestao |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
2.98 |
2.92 |
2.3 |
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3.3 |
2.87 |
2.4 |
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 |
3.1 |
2.86 |
2.41 |
 Watch |
 |
3.1 |
2.7 |
2.3 |
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3.02 |
3.23 |
2.34 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.1 ↑
(2.47) |
2.92 ↓
(2.98) |
2.35 ↓
(2.71) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Ebro
29.6% | Draw
31.4% | Sestao
39% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ebro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ebro's form might have worsened.Sestao has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sestao's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ebro than the current prediction. (+9.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ebro, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sestao than the current prediction. (-7.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sestao, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.Ebro - Sestao Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 65', 1 - 0, Prat M. ⚽,
- 73', 1 - 1, Erdozia O. ⚽,
- 90+1', Camara Hermida A. 🟥,
Preview
The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 6 and 7)Ebro is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).Sestao is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0). The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.We predict that Ebro will win today's game, with odds of 2.85.In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Ebro won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.3:0.7).Including home match between the teams, Ebro won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 4 | Ebro | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7:4 | 3 | 10 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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